1. Is now the time to bet on the Dodgers?
The LA Dodgers are currently +250 favorites to win the World Series, but they’re also flagging a bit. They’ve lost their last six games in a row and just got swept by their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks. The team that looked so potent and unstoppable a few short weeks ago is now inspiring more column inches of hand-wringing about structural deficiencies and mismanagement than anyone.
The catch: the Dodgers are still an unbelievably good baseball team, more than ten games ahead of the exceedingly hot Diamondbacks. Even if they continue their run of losses, there’s still very little shot they’ll lose their #1 spot in the NL West. There is, however, a good chance that the line on their World Series odds could shift. The line on the Dodgers has been a little crazy for a while now, and hopefully this recent rash of poor form can help calm it down a little.
Betting tip: The Dodgers are still very good, maybe the best team in baseball. If their line shifts significantly, to +400 or so, there should be value here.
2. I’ve never seen Juan Martin Del Potro hit the ball this way
That’s actually not true. I have seen him hit this way, bullying top opponents off the court with the most powerful forehand in the game and a solid backhand that comes flat and hard, in 2009. He won the US Open that year, beating Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal on the way to his only slam title. Now he’s got the same task ahead of him, as the +240 underdog in his semifinal against Nadal.
When DelPo is healthy and playing his best tennis, it’s a really bad matchup for Nadal. For all Nadal’s speed and defensive acumen, he has a really hard time when an opponent can hit through him, as we saw in his losses to Roger Federer at the Australian Open (where Federer hit a much flatter, stronger backhand), to Dominic Thiem at the Italian Open (where Thiem hit the ball as hard and deep as anyone on tour) and to Denis Shapovalov at the Rogers Cup (where Shapo’s rabies-symptomatic playstyle was too much for Nadal).
Betting tip: The winner of this semifinal will be the favorite to win the tournament, and if there’s anyone left who can beat Nadal, it’s Del Potro.