Trent Reinsmith
- Date & Location: Saturday, July 17 at Barclays Centre, Brooklyn, New York
- Odds: Jermell Charlo (-220) vs. Brian Castano (+180) via BetOnline
- Prediction: Charlo via decision
There is a lot of gold on the line in the matchup between Jermell Charlo and the unbeaten Brian Carlos Castano. Charlo holds the WBC, WBA, and IBF Super Welterweight world titles, while Castano is in possession of the WBO belt.
The 31-year-old Charlo is on a three-fight winning streak, he won each of those fights via knockout following the only loss of his career, a unanimous decision setback to Tony Harrison in 2018.
Castano, who is also 31, has won his past two outings after a split draw in 2019. He won the WBO strap in February with a decision win over Patrick Teixeira.
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CHARLO vs. CASTANO PREDICTION & PICK
The loss to Harrison is a red mark on Charlo’s record and it might be the reason the odds are kind of close for this matchup. However, Charlo got even with Harrison by scoring a TKO over him in 2019. So, I think the odds are a little closer than they should be for this contest.
With the high stakes of this fight, I expect to see a very motivated Charlo, who can end a fight with a single punch or display his boxing skill over a long and drawn-out fight. I see Charlo handing Castano his first loss and becoming the unified champ.
Prediction: Charlo at -230 via Bovada.
BETTING VALUE WITH CHARLO
If your plan is to get your money in on Charlo, you should do so as soon as possible because I think he is going to grow as a favorite as fight night nears. If your pick is Castano for the upset, it would be best to wait as well because he is likely to become a bigger underdog in this fight.
With Charlo at a little better than 2-1 at this point, there is still value in picking him as a straight winner in this matchup, that could change as the fight approaches. As Charlo increases as the favorite a bet on the finish could be the way to go. Castano is a tough and game competitor and I don’t think Charlo will score a knockout here, with that I would go with a decision win for Charlo.
Pick: Charlo via decision at -215 via BetUs.
WHO HAS THE EDGE?
As long as Charlo takes this fight seriously and fights up to the importance of the contest, the edge goes to him. However, Castano can be aggressive and put forth a lot of volume, so he is a live dog in this scrap. It should be a very enjoyable and tense affair.
TALE OF THE TAPE: CHARLO vs. CASTANO
| Jermell Charlo | Category | Brian Castano |
| 31 | Age | 31 |
| 34-1 | Record | 17-0-1 |
| 18 | Knockout Wins | 12 |
| 16 | Decision Wins | 4 |
| 0 | DQ | 1 |
| 5’11” | Height | 5’7.5″ |
| 73″ | Reach | 67.5″ |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
WHAT’S AT STAKE?
The winner of this matchup will be the first undisputed champion at 154 pounds since Winky Wright in 2004.
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