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- What: Undisputed Super Middleweight Title
- Who: Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford
- Where: Las Vegas, NV
- When: Saturday, September 13 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Canelo Alvarez and Terence Crawford will fight for the unified super middleweight title on September 13 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
Alvarez holds the WBC, WBA, WBO, and IBF super middleweight titles. He is renowned for his size and power. He enters the ring with an impressive record: 63 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws.
Thirty-nine of those wins came by knockout. His latest victory, a win over William Scull in May, secured his status as the undisputed 168-pound champion for the second time.
For Crawford, this fight marks his return since August 2024. The undefeated technician boasts a 41-0 record, including 31 knockouts. In his last outing, he captured the WBO junior middleweight title.
He did so with a unanimous decision win over Israil Madrimov.
Before we examine the odds, find everything you need to know to bet on boxing online and check out the best 2025 Boxing Betting Sites.
Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford
| Winner |  |  |  |
| Terence Crawford | +156 | +140 | +150 |
| Canelo Alvarez | -178 | -170 | -180 |
The key argument is that Crawford may have moments where he outboxes Canelo, but lacks the durability and power to secure a decisive win against him, regardless of the opinions of some boxing purists.
In contrast, Canelo’s explosiveness, physical strength, and greater power make a knockout likely. Furthermore, he has demonstrated effectiveness against southpaws, defeating John Ryder by decision in 2023 and stopping Billy Joe Saunders in 2021.
Building on Canelo’s recent success against southpaws, his legendary chin and elite defensive skills have allowed him to evade major shots since his trilogy with GGG, giving Crawford little chance of landing a fight-ending punch—especially if he can’t threaten with knockout power.
Canelo Alvarez is sparring ELITE boxers as he's working with double amateur world champion Yoenli Hernandez as well as Jaron 'Boots' Ennis to prepare for his fight against Terence Crawford next month 🔥#CaneloCrawford live on Netflix l Sept 13th in Las Vegas 🥊 pic.twitter.com/vFgSreMGle
— Ring Magazine (@ringmagazine) August 26, 2025
Furthermore, while Alvarez’s defense is crucial, his adaptability is just as important. He can win in various ways and should feel especially confident knowing he’s not facing a serious knockout threat.
Canelo’s mastery in the pocket, particularly with body shots that open up headshot opportunities, gives him a clear path to a stoppage.
On the other hand, Crawford is arguably the most skilled boxer today. His dominant win over Spence showed his precision—landing 50% of his punches and forcing a ninth-round stoppage—securing his status as a two-weight class undisputed champion and pound-for-pound king.
However, this challenge stands apart from Crawford’s previous victories because he is moving up to super middleweight, where Alvarez’s size and strength give him an advantage.
Few fighters succeed in jumping two weight divisions, and at 37, Crawford’s durability will be tested by Canelo’s power. As Regis Prograis noted, “They make weight classes for a reason.”
Belt collectors. Who leaves Vegas as Undisputed on September 13th? 👑 #CaneloCrawford pic.twitter.com/1sTNwkSBxU
— BOXRAW (@BOXRAW) August 25, 2025
Despite Crawford’s rigorous preparations—including sparring with bigger fighters, some near 200 pounds—doubts remain about whether he can withstand Canelo’s relentless pressure over the course of the fight.
Many expect Alvarez to force a stoppage by the middle rounds, as Crawford’s previous opponents have not applied similar sustained aggression.
That said, if you believe in Crawford, like I do, take him as the underdog or betting him by decision should still offer good value.
Total Rounds
| Rounds | | | |
| Over 10.5 | -380 | -375 | -375 |
| Under 10.5 | +280 | +285 | +285 |
The next market we can examine is the total rounds market. Oddsmakers are favoring the fight to exceed more than 10.5 rounds by pricing the over at -380.
This indicates an implied probability of 79%. It certainly seems like oddsmakers are planning for this fight to go the distance.
A once in a lifetime fight.
Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford. Saturday, September 13. LIVE globally on Netflix. pic.twitter.com/BGUDSPYEvY
— Netflix (@netflix) July 18, 2025
I am in agreement with them, this fight has all the makings of a great one that ends up going to the judges scorecards. I would bet Over 10.5 rounds with ease as that is the safest bet for this fight.
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