George Groves (-350) vs. Fedor Chudinov (+333), Draw (+3300)
George Groves (25-3, 18 KOs) and Fedor Chudinov (14-1, 10 KOs) will fight for the vacant WBA super-middleweight title this Saturday (May 27th) on the undercard of Kell Brook vs. Errol Spence.
This will be Groves’ fourth world title shot, and the Londoner has declared he will leave the sport if he loses. The 29-year-old has only had three professional losses, but they have been the three most decisive fights of his career.
The excitement surrounding Groves came to a boil when he took on Carl Froch for the first time. Froch, who is ten years older than Groves, was nearing the end of his career and the bout was billed to be a “passing of the torch” moment for British boxing. But Froch had other plans, winning by TKO in the ninth round.
All three judges had Groves ahead on points at the time of the stoppage and many thought the fight was ended prematurely. The two faced five months later and the outcome was far less controversial, with Froch landing a knockout in the eighth round.
Groves went on to face Badou Jack a year later for the WBC super-middleweight title, but narrowly lost by split decision. Now, he’s in with a world title shot against former WBA champ Fedor Chudinov.
Chudinov picked up the vacant WBA super-middleweight title after he defeated Felix Sturm in 2015. Strum though came back to claim it with a controversial Majority Decision win, but later tested positive for banned substances and was forced to vacate the title. Now, Chudinov is fighting to reclaim it.
Groves is definitely the more distinguished fighter and he’s fought far tougher opponents than Chudinov. Of his four world title shots, this is by far the easiest. Chudinov lacks the speed to outbox Groves, and if the fight goes the distance, there’s a good chance it’ll go to the Brit.
However, it doesn’t take all that much power to do damage to Groves, and Chudinov is known to be a hard hitter. Chudinov definitely has a punchers’ chance, and at +333, it may be worth picking the underdog.
Pick: Fedor Chudinov (+333)
Photo credit: Martial Arts Nomad [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)]