5th Ashes Test: Another Australia win is the only viable pick!

England’s disastrous Test tour of Australia reaches its conclusion when the two sides play the 5th and final Ashes Test match of the series later this week.

The Test match is at Hobart’s Bellerive Oval after being switched from the original intended venue in Perth due to covid-19 travel restrictions.

And it’s a match that can’t come soon enough for England’s battered, bruised, and beleaguered players.

Aus v Eng 5th Test 3-Way Moneyline OddsBetOnlineMyBookie
Australia-145TBC
England+650TBC
Draw+215TBC

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The Ashes Story So Far 

England arrived in Australia last November ahead of the five-match series with great expectations.

With host Australia in possession of the Ashes Urn, Joe Root and his England team needed to win the Test series outright to get the Urn back. 

What happened next was a disaster though. The tourists actually got off to a good start by winning the toss, but from there it all went wrong.

Having decided to bat first, when the conditions suggested it was a time to bowl first, England lost a man to the first ball of the series. 

Rory Burns was clean bowled by Mitchell Starc, and from that moment on, it all went downhill. Eventually, England was crushed by 9 wickets in the 1st Test. 

Things didn’t improve in the 2nd Test, with England losing by 275 runs. 

And then in the 3rd Test match, which was a must-win for England to keep the series alive, Joe Roots tourists were absolutely thrashed, losing by an innings and 14 runs.

The win in the third match gave the Aussies an unassailable 3-0 lead, and England’s Ashes bid was well and truly over.

With only pride left to play for, England managed to make a better fist of things in the 4th Test at Sydney last week.

With the help of a lot of rain taking time out of the match, the tourists managed to cling on by their fingernails to claim an undeserved draw. 

The chance of the clean-sweep was now gone for Australia. 

So with the 5-0 now impossible, will the Aussies still have the motivation required to win the 5th Test and finish the series 4-0?

Let’s take a look. 

 

Can Australia wrap the series up with another win?

  • Match – Australia v England | 5th Test (Day/Night)
  • Where – Bellerive Oval, Hobart, Tasmania, 
  • When – Thursday, January 13th -17th, 2022
  • Time – 11pm ET

This match might be a dead rubber, but with World Test Championship points up for grabs, the Aussies surely won’t let up.

In last year’s World Test Championship final, the Aussies only narrowly missed out on the final by a few points. So the importance of picking up every available world championship point won’t be lost on them.

England is on the ropes. They have been completely useless in this series, particularly with the bat in hand, and with their fielding.

If ever there was a team in a bad place who are there for the taking, it’s this England team. 

More motivation – if any is needed – for this Australia team comes in the form of their captain Pat Cummins.

Cummins is a fast bowler, and bowlers by trade, don’t generally get the captain’s job. 

Pat Cummins knows this, and winning this Test match offers him the chance to start dispelling the myth that bowlers don’t make good captains.

What better way to stuff that theory down the throats of any proponents of that opinion, than by winning a series in convincing style. 

Yes, this England team is indeed useless, but the record books won’t say that. They will just say that Pat Cummins, a fast bowler, captained the team to a 4-0 victory over England.

The Aussies are spoilt for choice at the moment

Then there is the competition for places in the Australia team. This will also lead to players continuing to push themselves.

Australia batsman Travis Head had to sit out the 4th Test as he contracted Covid-19.

Head scored a magnificent 152 in the 1st Test, and his place was not under any threat. 

So, how did his replacement, Usman Khawaja, do in the 4th Test? Bloody well, is the short answer.

Khawaja scored a century in the 1st innings, 137 to be precise. That’s good enough. But what about his 2nd innings, I hear you ask! 

Well, he only scored 101 not out! Khawaja cannot now be dropped. But Travis Head surely deserves his place back though!

So what will Australia do? Well, this is where England may benefit. The word is that opening batsman Marcus Harris may well make way for Head to come back in.

If Harris is the fall guy, that will mean Australia needs to completely reshape their batting lineup. And that could play into England’s hands. 

Although, given the way this tour has gone, England would probably drop this potential chance as well!

Australia v England 5th Test Betting Pick

In the betting, online sportsbooks make England a massive +400 to win, while Australia is just -700 to win, that’s on a two-way Moneyline.

On the three-way Moneyline, Australia can be backed at -145 with BetOnline, which is much more appealing.  

There is a slight chance of rain in Hobart over the course of the five days, but as we’ve already seen on this tour, Australia doesn’t need five full days to beat England.

Even in the drawn fourth match, if the game had gone on for another 10 minutes Australia would probably have won it. 

There is simply no case to be made for England here. They have been useless on this tour, and most of their players’ minds will probably already have turned to the plane home.

Australia are at -145 on the three-way Moneyline, and they are the only viable bet here. 

AustraliaTo Win 5th Test on three-way Moneyline
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-145
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Dean Etheridge

Dean has spent the last 10 years editing, and writing for his own football and cricket betting websites. He is passionate about sports and betting, and enjoys writing about both topics. In his spare time, Dean loves to spend time with his family, although he believes they just think he is their taxi driver!