Academy Awards Best Bets – Picks to Win Best Picture

Hollywood’s biggest stars will come out to shine when the Oscars are presented at the 94th edition of the Academy Awards on March 27. There is no shortage of top-flight films in the hunt to be named Best Picture at this year’s Oscars. While official nominations will not be finalized until early February, “The Power of the Dog” has emerged as the early favorite to claim Best Picture honors, sporting short +150 odds at BetUS. Steven Spielberg’s big-budget remake of the classic musical “West Side Story” sits a close second at +200, where it is joined by Kenneth Branaugh’s latest release “Belfast”,

MyTopSportsbooks takes a look at all the odds and trends ahead of this year’s Academy Awards. Sports bettors getting in on the Oscars betting action for the first time should refer to our guide to the best-rated sportsbooks and the best Entertainment betting sites for 2022.

Odds to Win Best Picture at the 2022 Academy AwardsBetOnlineBetUSBovada
The Power of the Dog+175+150+175
West Side Story+210+200+275
Belfast+225+200+225
Licorice Plaza+1600+1400+1400
King Richard+1600+1500+1200
Dune+1800+1600+1600
CODA+1800+2000+1800
Nightmare Alley+2500+2000+2000
Don't Look Up+3300+2500+3000
The Tragedy of Macbeth+4000+3300+2500
House of Guccin/a+4000+4500
Drive My Carn/an/a+1600

The Power of the Dog (+150)

Written and directed by New Zealand’s Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog” is based on the 1967 book of the same name by Thomas Savage. Released last September at the Venice International Film Festival, The Power of the Dog enjoyed a limited theatrical release before being released for streaming worldwide on Netflix late last year.

The film has received rave reviews from critics and was named one of the best films of 2021 by the American Film Institute. The film received seven nominations at this year’s Golden Globes, including Best Picture, and took home two awards, including Best Motion Picture – Drama.

West Side Story (+200)

Released in late November amid a huge media campaign, this remake of the 1961 film classic proved to be a massive disappointment at the box office. After four weeks in theatrical release, “West Side Story” racked up just $36.6 million in global ticket sales. That falls well short of the estimated $100 million it cost to produce the film, not to mention the cost of the massive media campaign ahead of its release. Has been a particular flop with young people, women under 35, and Latinos, who stayed away from cinemas in droves.

Of course, a lack of financial success does not disqualify “West Side Story” from awards consideration. Indeed, it earned the win in three of the four categories in which it was nominated at the Golden Globes, including Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy. And given the huge investment that the filmmakers must recoup, there has likely been a massive lobbying effort targeted at Academy voters.

Belfast (+200)

The latest offering from acclaimed actor and filmmaker Kenneth Branagh, “Belfast” has enjoyed a limited theatrical release since first hitting the big screen last September. But that hasn’t dampened critical and consumer enthusiasm for this coming-of-age story set amid the violence and tumult of Northern Ireland in the 1960s. Indeed, the film has received dozens of award nominations from both film festivals and critics associations and has earned upwards of 20 awards to date.

Perhaps most notable among the accolades came at the Toronto International Film Festival, where it claimed the highly coveted People’s Choice Award. “Belfast” also received six Golden Globe nominations, with Branagh claiming the prize for Best Screenplay. And the star power of Branagh cannot be underestimated. Born and raised in Belfast, Branagh sports a stacked trophy case that includes hardware from the BAFTA Awards and Emmy Awards. The 61-year-old was also among the Grammy Award best bets in 1994. Most importantly, Branagh has been nominated for an Academy Award on five previous occasions, leaving him well overdue to finally take home an Oscar.

Academy Award – Best Picture
Don’t Look Up
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+2500
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Don’t Look Up (+2500)

Among the most talked-about films in recent months, “Don’t Look Up” has emerged as an intriguing dark horse to earn Oscar glory at this year’s Academy Awards. Featuring a star-studded cast led by Leonardo Dicaprio and Jennifer Lawrence, “Don’t Look Up” quickly emerged as a smash hit following its December release on Netflix.

But while the film delighted consumers, and quickly became the number one topic around the water cooler, it failed to resonate with critics. Just 56% of reviews on Rotten Tomatoes rated the film positively and received a score of just 49 out of 100 at Metacritic. And considering the political passions, it has stoked, “Don’t Look Up” faces an uphill battle.

The Tragedy of Macbeth (+3300)

If the combination of Shakespeare, Denzel Washington, and director Joel Coen intrigues you, then “The Tragedy of Macbeth” is a can’t-miss film. Released at last fall’s New York International Film Festival before enjoying a brief and limited theatrical release over Christmas, subscribers to Apple TV+ can enjoy this highly acclaimed adaptation of the beloved Shakespearean tragedy.

However, critics have been divided on Coen’s interpretation of Shakespeare. In addition, the world’s most famous bard has enjoyed little success at the Oscars. Film adaptations of Shakespearean plays have been nominated for Best Picture on six previous occasions, with Laurence Olivier’s “Hamlet” emerging as the lone winner in 1948. And after the criticism the Academy received for handing the Best Picture Oscar to “Shakespeare in Love” in 1998, it is tough seeing “The Tragedy of Macbeth” faring well this time around.

Best Bet: Belfast (+200)

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Sean Maloney

Sean Maloney is an experienced writer, first starting out in the tech industry then pursuing his passion as a sports writer. He has a great interest in North American sports and strangely is also a keen darts fan. He spends his time focused on his work and family, with much of his free time spent with his twin daughters.

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