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- What: 2025 Mexican Grand Prix
- When: October 26, 2025
- Time: 3:00 p.m. EST
- Where: Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City, Mexico
The Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez is one of Formula 1’s most unique challenges. It is 2,200 meters above sea level in the heart of Mexico City.
The thin air at this altitude creates a nightmare for engineers – power units lose performance, brakes struggle to cool, and aerodynamics behave completely differently than at sea level.
Teams are forced to run high downforce setups despite the circuit’s long straights, creating a technical puzzle separating the best teams.
The 2.674-mile track is the third-slowest on the calendar, which historically favors precision and mechanical grip over raw straight-line speed.
Max Verstappen absolutely dominates here. He’s won five times in Mexico – more than any other driver – and he’s fresh off a perfect weekend in Austin, where he swept sprint qualifying, the sprint race, pole position, and the main race.
That performance cut Oscar Piastri’s championship lead to just 40 points with six races remaining.
Verstappen’s momentum is REAL. He’s erased a 104-point deficit in just four races and hasn’t finished below second in his last five outings.
At a track that suits his Red Bull and where he’s historically unstoppable, Verstappen at +125 odds is tremendous value for Sunday’s race.
Before we look at the latest betting odds of the Mexican Grand Prix, check out the top Formula 1 betting sites in 2025.
2025 Mexican Grand Prix Odds
| To Win 2025 Mexican States Grand Prix |  |  |  |
| Max Verstappen | -105 | +120 | +125 |
| Lando Norris | +250 | +235 | +225 |
| Oscar Piastri | +400 | +330 | +325 |
| George Russell | +1600 | +1400 | +1200 |
| Charles Leclerc | +2000 | +1400 | +1600 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2800 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +8000 | +4500 | +6600 |
| Fernando Alonso | +25000 | +25000 | +2000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | +30000 | +25000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 | +50000 | +30000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +50000 | +25000 | +30000 |
| Carlos Sainz | +50000 | +20000 | +50000 |
| Alex Albon | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 |
| Lance Stroll | +100000 | +40000 | +50000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +100000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +100000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +100000 | +30000 | +50000 |
Max Verstappen
Max Verstappen isn’t just the favorite – he’s the LOCK.
Verstappen put on an absolute clinic in Austin last weekend, sweeping every session: sprint qualifying, sprint race, pole position, and the main race. That perfect 33-point haul cut Piastri’s championship lead from 104 points just four races ago down to 40 points. The momentum has completely shifted.
And now he’s heading to his favorite hunting ground.
Verstappen has won in Mexico five times – more than any other driver in history at this circuit. He’s only a year removed from his third consecutive victory at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez. The track characteristics play perfectly into his hands.
🚨 Laps led in Mexico since it returned to the calendar in 2015:
Max Verstappen – 331
All other drivers combined – 308It's called Maxico for a reason. pic.twitter.com/WA4swTTFz3
— Daniel Valente 🏎️ (@F1GuyDan) October 23, 2025
As the third-slowest circuit on the calendar, it rewards precision driving and mechanical grip over raw straight-line speed – exactly where Verstappen and Red Bull excel. He hasn’t finished below second in his last five races, including three victories.
At +125 odds, you’re getting plus-money on a driver who dominates this track, is riding unstoppable momentum, and faces circuit conditions that favor his slightly inferior car. This is value hiding in plain sight.
All our odds are taken from the best sites for F1 betting. You can read more about them on our How to Bet on Formula 1 online page.
Lando Norris
Lando Norris at +250 odds represents intriguing value as the middle ground between Verstappen’s dominance and Piastri’s championship lead.
Norris sits just 15 points behind Piastri in the standings and has been the superior McLaren driver since late August. He finished second in Mexico last year and grabbed another runner-up spot in Austin last weekend, showing he can compete at the front even when Verstappen is flying.
How much ground Lando Norris & Max Verstappen have made up on Oscar Piastri 📊
This really puts into perspective:
• How much Lando's DNF in Zandvoort hurt 🤕
• How much of a tear Max is on right now 😳But they're both on the charge. pic.twitter.com/WohG9yBQED
— Daniel Valente 🏎️ (@F1GuyDan) October 23, 2025
The stats back him up: Norris has been on the podium in four of the last five races and has finished ahead of teammate Piastri in four consecutive outings.
His pace in the McLaren has been exceptional, and if anyone can challenge Verstappen’s Mexican dominance, it’s the driver with the fastest car on the grid.
At +250 odds, you’re getting a driver who’s proven he belongs at the front and whose machinery gives him a legitimate shot at victory.
I would wager on Norris to win this race at these odds.
Oscar Piastri
While Verstappen dominates the headlines, don’t sleep on Oscar Piastri at +330 odds. The McLaren driver still holds a 40-point championship lead despite Verstappen’s recent surge, and there’s a reason he’s maintained that position.
Piastri’s MCL39 has been the fastest car on the grid over the last two months. McLaren’s upgrades have transformed their performance, and Mexico’s high-altitude conditions could favor their power unit efficiency compared to Red Bull’s slightly aging package.
McLaren have removed the repercussions imposed on Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri has confirmed, with the team-mates and title rivals to compete with a "clean slate" at this weekend's Mexico City Grand Prix 🚨 pic.twitter.com/JkbN1CZHg9
— Sky Sports F1 (@SkySportsF1) October 23, 2025
The 23-year-old Australian has shown remarkable consistency this season. While he hasn’t won in Mexico before, his racecraft has matured significantly. He’s proven he can handle pressure, and McLaren’s recent form suggests they have the pace to challenge Verstappen’s dominance here.
If McLaren can nail their setup for the altitude and Piastri executes a clean weekend, this could be where he strikes back and extends his points lead heading into the final stretch.
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