Max Verstappen to capture third career Monaco Grand Prix victory

  • Oscar Piatri (+185) is favored to win the Monaco Grand Prix over his McLaren teammate Lando Norris (+225) 
  • Max Verstappen (+300) claimed his second win of the campaign at the Emilia-Romagna GP 
  • The 78-lap, 2.07-mile Circuit de Monaco hosts Round 8 of the F1 season on May 25, 2025

Max Verstappen ended Oscar Piastri’s three-race winning streak with a vintage victory at the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix last Sunday. With his 65th career triumph, the four-time reigning world champion sits in third place in the drivers’ standings, 11 points shy of Lando Norris and 22 points back of Piastri.

Can the Dutchman pick up his third win of the season in Monaco? Before we look at the latest odds, check out the top Formula 1 betting sites in 2025 and get betting odds on the Canadian F1 Grand Prix and other upcoming races.

2025 Monaco Grand Prix

WinnerBovada Sportsbook ReviewBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewMyBookie Sportsbook Review
Oscar Piastri+185+185+185
Lando Norris+225+225+225
Max Verstappen+300+300+300
Charles Leclerc+600+600+600
George Russell+1600+1600+1600
Lewis Hamilton+2200+2200+2200
Kimi Antonelli+2500+2500+2500
Alex Albon+15000+15000+15000
Carlos Sainz+15000+15000+15000
Fernando Alonso+15000+15000+15000
Esteban Ocon+50000+50000+50000
Franco Colapinto+50000+50000+50000
Gabriel Bortoleto+50000+50000+50000
Isack Hadjar+50000+50000+50000
Lance Stroll+50000+50000+50000
Liam Lawson+50000+50000+50000
Nico Hulkenberg+50000+50000+50000
Oliver Bearman+50000+50000+50000
Pierre Gasly+50000+50000+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000+50000+50000

Verstappen closing the gap?

Oscar Piastri (+185) was overtaken by Max Verstappen (+300) on the opening lap at Imola, ending his three-race winning streak with a third-place finish. The 24-year-old Australian still enjoys a 13-point lead over teammate Lando Norris (+225) in the drivers’ standings. McLaren has also captured five of the seven GPs this season, but do they have reason to worry about the reemergence of Mad Max?

Following improvements to the car, Verstappen led all 63 laps of the Emilia-Romagna GP as Red Bull Racing celebrated its milestone 400th race win. The question is whether the reigning champion’s second victory of the campaign will be another blip on the radar or a new trend?

Poll position is crucial

Saturday’s qualifying holds extra importance as overtaking at the incredibly narrow Circuit de Monaco is much harder than your average F1 event. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc (+600) took poll position before winning his hometown race in 2024. Piastri also performed well in Monaco last year, crossing the line in second place.

Verstappen has two career victories in Monaco. The Dutchman won the 2023 race after capturing pole position, but did not hold the pole when he picked up his first career win in Monte Carlo in 2021. The four-time champion has claimed three of seven poles this season.

Lando NorrisMonaco GP
★★★★★
+225
Bet now
Oscar PiastriMonaco GP
★★★★★
+185
Bet now

Lucky longshots

George Russell (+1600) struggled at the Emilia Romagna GP, but the Englishman has still made four trips to the podium in seven events this year. Mercedes maintains a 16-point edge on Red Bull in the constructors standings, 132 points back of first-place McLaren.

Lewis Hamilton (+2200) has three career victories in Monaco but none since 2019. The seven-time world champion still has gas in the tank at 40 years of age. Last Sunday in Italy, he recovered from 12th on the grid to finish fourth in his first race for Ferrari in Italy.

Best Bet

Unlike last year’s wide-open F1 season that saw seven different drivers claim checkered flags, this year seems poised to be dominated by Piastri, Norris and Verstappen.

Riding a wave of momentum after picking up his second win of the year last weekend, we’ll take Verstappen (+300) to capture his third-career victory at the Monaco GP.

 

Max VerstappenMonaco GP
★★★★★
+300
Bet now

See below the Best Offshore Sportsbooks for US Customers 2025 where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:

Badge ranking partner

1

★★★★★

Bonus

125% Sports Bonus - up to $2,000

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

2

★★★★★

Bonus

50% up to $250

Bet Now
Badge ranking partner

3

★★★★☆

Bonus

50% up to $1,000

Bet Now
Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identi...

Read More About the Author