F1 Russian Grand Prix Predictions

A wild Formula 1 betting season got even wilder at the most recent Italian Grand Prix. After the events there (which we’ll get to shortly), what’s the best way to bet on the looming race? You’re about to find out because we have complete F1 Russian Grand Prix predictions in this article!

Of course, our picks are predicated on what the current betting odds are. As of right now, the top online bookies have pegged these six drivers with the best odds to win the Russian GP:

Max Verstappen-145-145
Lewis Hamilton+300+300
Valtteri Bottas+350+350
George Russell+2500+2500
Sergio Perez+2500+2500
Lando Norris+2500+2500

What immediately stands out about the lines is how far apart Hamilton and Verstappen are. This is the widest gap in betting odds between the two rivals all season long — and no, it’s not an overlook on the bookmaker’s part. After the fiasco in Italy, it’s completely warranted and here’s exactly why.

2021 Russian GP Betting Preview

By now, you’re well aware that Hamilton and Verstappen were involved in another crash (their second of the year) in Italy. We don’t need to recap what went down, but it’s definitely worth our time to explain the ramifications of it as it pertains to the upcoming competition in Mochi.

The reason why Verstappen is a steep +300 to win is that he’s being penalized for the Italian fiasco. The penalty? A three-place grid drop for Verstappen at the next race. The penalty came after further inspection of Verstappen and Hamilton’s collision on Lap 26 of the Italian Grand Prix. Once the dust settled, the stewards ruled Verstappen responsible for the scary crash that sent his Red Bull Car on top of Hamilton’s.

It’s a costly penalty magnified by how close the driver standings currently are. Verstappen earned two points from finishing second at the Monza Sprint — the day before the Italian GP — which extended his lead over Hamilton to five (226.5 to 221.5). Now Hamilton has a golden opportunity to reclaim the top spot with Verstappen starting in such a late position.

But even worse for Verstappen, it’s likely not his last penalty. Already on his third engine of the season, if Verstappen wants to use a fourth — which most believe he will after his fourth crash of the year — he’ll receive another 10-place drop. F1 has a three-engine quota on all teams, however, Verstappen and Red Bull have the luxury of deciding when to take the hit. So far, they’ve been num if that’ll be in Mochi or not, however, it’s sure not out of the question.

2021 Russian GP Betting Picks

Penalty or no penalty, Mercedes already had a big advantage going into the Russian Grand Prix. They have completely dominated at this track since it became an annual fixture for F1 in 2014. Mercedes has won all seven races in Mochi since then, with four of those coming from Hamilton himself (Bottas has two victories and the retired Nico Rosberg has one).

But hey, don’t just take our word for it, listen to Red Bull’s own boss Helmut Marko. Right after the Italian GP, Marko said “Sochi is Mercedes country.” Keep in mind, that quote came before the penalty to Verstappen.

Yeah, we’re riding Mercedes to the bank and that means Hamilton. And honestly, we’d think twice about betting on his teammate, Bottas. He’s still at zero wins in 2021 and let’s face it, we all know his days at Mercedes are numbered.

The smart bet here is Hamilton. In fact, we think -145 is cheap given how big of a lead he’ll have over Verstappen at the starting gate. Beyond those two drivers, no one else in F1 is worth a bet on a regular basis.

Lewis Hamiltonto win the 20201 Russian Grand Prix
Bet now

How To Watch The 2021 Russian GP

Par for the course, any and all Formula 1 action is broadcast exclusively on ESPN for those located in the United States. That’s no different this time around. Here is the schedule that lays ahead for the big weekend:

  • Practice 1 & 2 — Friday, September 24 (3:30 am on ESPNU and 7 am on ESPN, respectively)
  • Practice 3 & Qualifying — Saturday, September 25 (4 am on ESPN2 and 7 am on ESPN2, respectively)
  • Italian GP Race — Sunday, September 26 (7 am on ESPN2)

The next race following Russia is the Turkish Grand Prix which goes down on October 10. Then two weeks after that, F1 comes to Austin for the America Grand Prix and at last, you’ll have a race you can watch in regular hours — not the wee hours of the morning!

How To Bet The F1 Russian Grand Prix

The number of betting opportunities in F1 is dwindling down this year. That means you need to savor the opportunities from here until the finale in Abu Dhabi in mid-December and lock in a wager. Why not now? Especially after we’ve given you the complete low down on what to expect in Mochi?

If that sounds like a plan, then visit one of the betting sites we’ve listed underneath. These are the very best bookmakers when it comes to F1. Every race, every driver, every bet type, it’s all there for the taking at these bookies — and at very respectable betting prices, too.

Better yet, if you bet at one of the sites, you could be hundreds to thousands of dollars richer right off the bat. That’s because there are multiple promotional bonuses available to you right now. Each offers free play which you can use on F1 or any other bet of your choice. See the table below for full details on redeeming your bonus!




50% up to $1,000

Bet Now




100% up to $1,000

Bet Now




125% Sports Bonus - up to $2,500

Bet Now
Tony Castle

Tony Castle is one of the best out there, an excellent writer with a true love for sports. He learned his craft at University study English writing, before moving into his current role as an independent sports writer and journalist.

Learn how to bet on sports online Here!