Las Vegas GP Picks: Verstappen’s Title Hopes on the Line in Vegas Showdown

  • What: Las Vegas Grand Prix
  • When: November 22, 2025
  • Time:  11:00 p.m. EST
  • Where: Las Vegas Strip Circuit, Las Vegas, Nevada

The Formula 1 Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix returns November 20-22, 2025, bringing the world’s premier racing series back to the iconic Las Vegas Strip. The 6.2km, 17-turn street circuit winds past Caesars Palace, the Bellagio, and the Venetian, with average speeds similar to Monza, promising spectacular high-speed action under the desert lights.

The championship battle is exceptionally tight as it heads into Vegas. Lando Norris leads with 390 points, Oscar Piastri trails by just 24 points, and Max Verstappen sits 49 points back. The race takes place at night in November, with temperatures averaging eight degrees Celsius, creating unique low-grip challenges. With only 58 points available after Vegas across Qatar and Abu Dhabi, this weekend could prove pivotal in deciding the 2025 world championship.

Before we look at the latest betting odds of the Las Vegas Grand Prix, check out the top Formula 1 betting sites in 2025.

2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix Odds

To Win 2025 Las Vegas Grand PrixBetOnline Sportsbook & Casino Review 2025BetUS Sportsbook Review 2025Bovada Sportsbook Review 2025
Max Verstappen+165+150+150
Lando Norris+225+225+225
George Russell+450+450+450
Oscar Piastri+800+800+800
Kimi Antonelli+1000+1000+1000
Charles Leclerc+1800+1600+1600
Lewis Hamilton+3300+4000+4000
Oliver Bearman+25000+30000+30000
Isack Hadjar+25000+30000+30000
Fernando Alonso+30000+40000+40000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000+30000+30000
Lance Stroll+50000+40000+50000
Pierre Gasly+50000+50000+50000
Franco Colapinto+50000+50000+50000
Esteban Ocon+50000+40000+40000
Liam Lawson+50000+40000+50000
Carlos Sainz+50000+30000+50000
Alex Albon+50000+40000+40000
Nico Hulkenberg+50000+40000+50000
Gabriel Bortoleto+50000+40000+40000

Max Verstappen

Verstappen’s championship hopes are slim. If Norris produces another strong race, Verstappen’s challenge could end, given the limited points remaining. Verstappen admitted his deficit is likely too great, noting Red Bull’s earlier missed opportunities.

However, Verstappen brings momentum and experience. He’s won at Las Vegas before in 2023, and his recent form is impressive—averaging a 3.3 finish over the last five rounds compared to Norris at 5.9 and Piastri at 7.6. He has won five times in Mexico City, three times in São Paulo, twice in Qatar, and four times in Abu Dhabi, demonstrating his strength at the remaining venues.

Verstappen must maximize points and rely on mistakes from McLaren. Reliability and consistency are crucial; a non-finish could end his hopes. His experience and recent form offer a slim chance to remain in contention.

Verstappen is favored for a reason at this track. I absolutely expect him to win this race and ratchet up the pressure on both McLaren drivers. I would bet on Verstappen to win this at +150 odds.

Max VerstappenTO WIN 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix
★★★★★
+150
Bet now

Lando Norris

Norris cannot secure the title this weekend. Las Vegas is about minimizing losses ahead of the final rounds.

The challenge? McLaren has “never been good at” the Las Vegas track. Norris admitted it could be one of their toughest weekends, noting it was their worst track last year. In 2024, he finished sixth, 43 seconds behind the winner George Russell. In 2023’s inaugural race, he crashed out entirely.

The circuit’s cold temperatures and smooth surface create super low-grip conditions, favoring Mercedes and Ferrari over McLaren. Norris explained they were the slowest of the top four teams at Vegas last season. However, McLaren has worked hard to address these weaknesses and made significant improvements this year.

Norris’s strategy is simple: stay ahead of Piastri and limit Verstappen’s gains. A podium would be impressive, keeping his title hopes strong.

I would pass on Norris at this race, I believe he will be too cautious, actually, to try and win.

Lando NorrisTO WIN 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix
★★★★★
+225
Bet now

All our odds are taken from the best sites for F1 betting. You can read more about them on our How to Bet on Formula 1 online page.

Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri faces a monumental uphill battle after hitting poor form at the worst possible time. Before the summer break, he had won six races and been off the podium only twice, displaying exceptional qualifying pace and racecraft. Since the Dutch GP, however, he hasn’t beaten Norris or Verstappen in any of the last six races, reaching the podium just once.

Las Vegas presents particular challenges for the Australian. Team boss Andrea Stella cited Piastri’s performance on low-grip tracks as a “red flag,” and historically, neither McLaren driver has qualified or finished better than sixth at this venue. The long straights and technical sections generally favor Red Bull’s package.

Despite sitting 24 points behind Norris, 83 points remain available in 2025, leaving plenty of opportunity for the Australian to mount a comeback. Betting markets reflect his underdog status at +800 odds to win in Vegas. Piastri must rediscover his early-season brilliance immediately, as momentum has shifted decisively in favor of his teammate, and any further missteps could end his title hopes entirely.

As tempting as it is to grab Piastri at these odds, I would pass as well. This one feels like Verstappen’s to lose.

Oscar PiastriTO WIN 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix
★★★★★
+800
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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