2022 Tour de France Picks Ahead of Stage 10

  • Tadej Pogacar (-250 is the chalk pick to capture his third Tour de France in a row but Jonas Vingegaard (+250) is hot on his tail through nine stages
  • Lennard Kamna (+650) is co-favored with the Slovenian champion to win Stage 10’s hilly course
  • The 109th edition of the 21-stage bicycle race concludes in Paris, France on July 24

After providing our 2022 Tour de France Betting Picks back in June, we wanted to take an updated look at the latest odds heading into Stage 10 on Tuesday.

While Tadej Pogacar is still favored to win the world’s most famous bicycle race for the third-consecutive time, Jonas Vingegaard has put himself in position to compete after the first nine stages. Before we look at the latest odds to win the Tour, let’s first examine all the contenders to capture Stage 10. Here’s also where you can find all of our 2022 pro cycling betting picks.

Stage 10 – Tour de France

Lennard Kamna+650
Tadej Pogacar+650
Wout Van Aert+1000
Thibaut Pinot+1800
Jakob Fuglsang+2200
Andreas Kron+2500
Jonas Vingegaard+2500

Pogacar has company

Tadej Pogacar (+650) has two stage wins and a 39-second overall advantage through the first nine stages of the Tour de France. So, it’s a bit strange to see him listed as a co-favorite to claim Stage 10 with Lennard Kamna (+650).

It looked like the Bora-Hansgrohe rider would take the Tour’s first mountain climb up La Super Planche des Belles Filles in Stage 7 on Friday. But, he came up an agonizing 90 metres short of the finish line as Pogacar captured his second stage victory in a row.

Stage 10 to Megeve

Stage 10 (Morzine Les Portes du Soleil to Megeve) is a hilly course with four categorized climbs, highlighted by a 11.9 mile ascent up to the Megeve airport. And Kamna knows it well, beating the field by 41 seconds on the same Megeve course at the 2020 Criterium du Dauphine. With two stage victories, Wout Van Aert (+1000) could also be in the mix on Tuesday. The Belgian in the green “sprinter” jersey has already built up an insurmountable lead in points classification.

Tadej Pogacarto win Stage 10
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Lennard Kamnato win Stage 10
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Winner – Tour de France 2022

Tadej Pogacar-250
Jonas Vingegaard+250
Geraint Thomas+2500
Primoz Roglic+2500
Adam Yates+5000

Pogacar vs Vingegaard

Tadej Pogacar (-250) is the overall race leader through nine stages. Looking for his third-straight Tour de France triumph, the Slovenian could make this a one-horse race over the next 13 stages.

However, Denmark’s Jonas Vingegaard (+250) is only 39 seconds back and his Jumbo-Visma team is much stronger than Team UAE Emirates from top to bottom. With Vingegaard, Primoz Roglic and Van Aert, Jumbo-Visma will have opportunities to isolate the 23-year-old Pogacar over the latter half of the tour.


Best Bet

While Pogacaris already an all-time cycling great, there’s not much value in betting him to win the Tour at -250. Instead, take Vingegaard at +250. Already one minute up on his second-place performance in 2021, the 25-year-old Dane is described as “the best climber in the world” by Pogacar himself. That’s noteworthy given this upcoming week’s itinerary includes four mountains higher than 2,000m and back-to-back summit finishes.

Expect Vingegaard to use these Alpine tests to close the 39-second gap with the two-time champion and at least make him sweat all the way to Paris.

Jonas Vingegaardto win Tour de France
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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