Paris-Roubaix 2021 Betting Picks

The delayed Paris-Roubaix cycling race takes place this weekend, with the world’s top racers competing on the famous cobbled sectors.

It’s just a week since the 2021 World Road Race Championships, so we really are being treated to some top-class events at this late stage of the cycling season. 

  • Date – 3rd October 2021
  • Start Time – 5am ET
  • Distance – 259 KM 
  • Start – Compiegne (North of Paris)  
  • Finish – Vélodrome Andre-Petrieux, Roubaix 

Paris-Roubaix is usually held in the early part of the season, but due to the Covid pandemic, it’s being held at this late stage of the year.

Cyclists are conditioned to peak at certain stages of the season to target certain races. 

But I don’t believe that having this race outside of the ‘Cobbled Classics Season’ will diminish the race or dilute the quality in any way.

Paris-Roubaix 2021 Winner Betting OddsBetUSBovada
Wout Van Aert+330+310
Mathieu Van Der Poel+500+500
Mads Pedersen+1000+1200
Peter Sagan+1200+1200
Florian Senechal+1400+1500
Jasper Stuyven+1600+1800
Kasper Asgreen+1800+1800
Tom Pidcock+1800+1800
Julian Alaphilippe+2500+2000

As you can see in the betting, all the big names are here.

Favorite Wout Van Aert is joined by classic specialist Peter Sagan and recently crowned double world champion Julian Alaphilippe

So, let’s now have a closer look at some of the favorites to win the race, and bring you our cycling picks!

Wout Van Aert +330

The Belgian rider was both the home, and sportsbook’s favorite in last weekend’s World Championship race in Flanders. 

Riding in his national colors, as opposed to his Jumbo-Visma team jersey, Wout Van Aert could only manage 11th place.

Britain’s Tom Pidcock has since stated that Van Aert was never in with a chance given his team’s tactics and the pressure put on them by the home crowd. 

Could Paris-Roubaix be a consolation prize for Van Aert? 

He has none of that pressure on his shoulders this week, and will instead be looked after by his Jumbo-Visma teammates, rather than the Belgian national team.

With odds of +330, I feel there is little value in betting on Van Aert outright or each way. 

For me, the Belgian is too short, and is a no bet!

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Mathieu van der Poel +500

The Dutch rider also had a disappointing world championship last Sunday.

One of the favorites with sportsbooks, van der Poel could only manage an eighth-place finish, 1 minute and 18 seconds down on the winner. 

In fact, van der Poel wasn’t even the highest placed Dutchman, that accolade went to Dylan van Baarle who picked up the silver medal.  

Although eighth place might seem disappointing to a rider with aspirations to win, it’s not a bad finish. And it shows that van der Poel is in reasonable form and in the mix to win.

Already this season van der Poel has won the 2021 Strade Bianche back in March, and he also picked up a stage win in this year’s Tour de France!

I think at odds of +500 he could be worth a small bet.

Mathieu van der PoelTo Win Paris-Roubaix Each-Way
star iconstar iconstar iconstar iconstar icon
+500
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Mads Pedersen +1000

Classic specialist Mads Pedersen won the Kuurne–Brussels–Kuurne back in February this year but has had a quiet season since.

He did also win a stage in the Tour of Norway in August, so has shown small signs of a return to form.

Still only young in cycling terms at the age of 25, Pedersen is a man with time on his side. 

I don’t see it being this weekend he comes good, but it will happen one day soon.

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Peter Sagan +1200

Now we’re getting into the value riders. Peter Sagan is a man born for the one-day classics.

The Slovakian rider has won no less than three world championships and this race back in 2018.

His world championship wins also came a few years back, 2015, 2016, and 2017. Are the 31-year old’s best days behind him already? 

In this year’s world championship, Sagan never looked like adding a fourth title to his impressive collection of wins. Sagan finished in 26th position, which was 6 mins and 27 seconds behind the winner. 

With no form to speak off in 2021, at +1200 I don’t believe Sagan is great value. 

The problem is that’s he’s one of those capable riders who you write off at your peril. But I’m still giving him a wide berth due to recent form. 

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Tom Pidcock +1800

22-year-old Tom Pidcock has just completed an impressive world championship last weekend, finishing 6th overall, and doing a lot of work on his own. 

With the support of Ineos Grenadiers behind him this week, Pidcock has to be considered a serious contender to win.

I think from what I saw last week, Pidcock will be well up to win this race and is worth an each-way bet at +1800.

Tom PidcockTo Win Paris-Roubaix Each-Way
star iconstar iconstar iconstar iconstar icon
+1800
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Julian Alaphilippe +2500

What can we say about this man? 

In the face of a hostile Belgian crowd last weekend, Alaphilippe escaped from his breakaway group in the final few kilometers of the race to win his second road world championship in two years.

Will he be up for this race the week after such a victory? You bet he will. 

Last season following his first world championship win, the Frenchman had his arms aloft crossing the line to win the Liege-Bastogne-Liege classic…. or so he thought!

Unknown to Alaphilippe, he went early with his celebration and was caught on the line by Primoz Roglic

To add further insult to injury, Alaphilippe was then demoted down further places for an infringement. 

The point is, Alaphilippe was still hungry for more. And that makes him another great each-way pick for the Paris-Roubaix at +2500

Julian AlaphilippeTo Win Paris-Roubaix Each-Way
star iconstar iconstar iconstar iconstar icon
+2500
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With there only being such a huge field in cycling classic races, I would strongly recommend using betting bonuses on these picks.

These sorts of picks can be a bit like a lottery, hence choosing more than one pick. So if you’re using cash, bet wisely! 

Dean Etheridge

Dean has spent the last 10 years editing, and writing for his own football and cricket betting websites. He is passionate about sports and betting, and enjoys writing about both topics. In his spare time, Dean loves to spend time with his family, although he believes they just think he is their taxi driver!