Porte Over Froome at 2017 Tour de France?

After the chaotic Critérium du Dauphiné a couple weeks ago, it’s high time we updated the odds for the 2017 Tour de France (July 1st to 23rd). Jakob Fuglsang came out of nowhere to claim two stages and clinch the overall victory at the Dauphiné, forcing himself into the list of favorites. Meanwhile, Richie Porte fought valiantly to retain the yellow jersey and showed that he is capable of beating his former teammate Chris Froome. Froome (fourth overall) had a disappointing week, by his lofty standards, but let’s not be so quick to jump to conclusions. The three-time TDF winner is still the greatest Grand Tour rider of his generation.

Who are the favorites now and what are the odds? Let’s take a look! (If you’re keen to go after a bigger payout, here’s my take on the best longshots.)


2017 Tour de France: General Classification (Yellow Jersey) Odds

Chris Froome (Team Sky): 2/1

Chris Froome may still be the outright favorite for the upcoming Tour de France, but his performance at the Critérium du Dauphiné has led many to question his form. The three-time TDF-winner was the heavy favorite leading into the Dauphiné; now he barely edges out his former teammate Richie Porte.

Froome won the Dauphiné in the lead up to all three of his Tour wins, so it’s not a great sign that he sank to fourth place this year. Team Sky will be sending a much stronger team to the Tour, though. So don’t be too surprised if he dominates another edition.

Richie Porte (BMC Racing): 21/10

After Porte’s performance at the Critérium du Dauphiné, Froome dubbed him the “Tour de France favorite”. That’s not exactly true, but he is now giving his former team leader a run for his money.

Porte has a reputation for running empty in the final stages of three-week events and tends to do a lot better in the one-week races like the Dauphiné. Still, his second place finish shows he’s a real threat to the General Classification.

Nairo Quintana (Team Movistar): 8/1

Quintana’s stock plummeted after he finished second to Tom Dumoulin at the Giro d’Italia. Winning the Giro and Tour in the same year is a nearly impossible feat; if Nairo wasn’t even able to claim the first leg over the big Dutchman, what chance does he have against climbing greats like Froome and Porte, who will enter more rested? 

The pocket-sized Columbian claimed he had some health issues during the Giro which prevented him from riding his best, so maybe we should give him the benefit of the doubt for now. 

He’s claimed the Giro (2014) and the Vuelta a Espana (2016) in the past; the TDF is the one Grand Tour he’s yet to win, finishing second twice (2013, 2015) and third once (2016) in three tries. Could this finally be his moment?

Alberto Contador (Trek-Segafredo): 16/1

Contador placed 11th overall at the Dauphiné, but the seven-time Grand Tour winner admitted from the outset that he wasn’t aiming to win. Instead, he intended to use the event as a warm-up to the Tour.

He’s nowhere near as dominant as he used to be, but he still poses a huge threat to the General Classification.

Jakob Fuglsang (Astana): 19/1

New to the list of favorites is Jakob Fuglsang, who managed to clinch the Dauphiné with a last-stage win. The Swiss held off many of the Grand Tour favorites to pull off the biggest win of his career. He’ll now ride alongside Fabio Aru at the Tour.

He doesn’t have a great track record at the Grand Tours, but he remains a dark horse nonetheless.