Updated 2022 Milan-San Remo Cycling Picks

  • Wout Van Aert (+375) and Caleb Ewan (+450) are the favorites at Milan-San Remo
  • The first Monument of the 2022 season is often described as the easiest to finish but the hardest to win
  • The 293-km race from Milan to San Remo is set for Saturday, March 19

Milan-San Remo is the first Monument of the season, bringing out the biggest names in pro cycling. Dating back to 1907, La Classicissima (the big classic) is a grueling, near-300km race that culminates with the famous Poggio climb and a sprint to the finish.

After making betting predictions for 2022 Milan-San Remo back in January, today we’ll look at the latest odds from popular online sportsbooks and make our picks on who will be victorious on the most important day in Italian cycling.

Milan San Remo

Wout Van Aert+375
Caleb Ewan+450
Julian Alaphilippe+900
Sonny Colbrelli+1200
Tom Pidcock+1500
Mads Pedersen+2000
Jasper Philipsen+2200
Michael Matthews+2200
Matej Mohoric+2500
Mathieu Van Der Poel+2500
Sam Bennett+2500
Davide Ballerini+2800

Wout Van Aert and Caleb Ewan favored

Wout Van Aert (+375) is the favorite at Milan-San Remo after he and his Jumbo-Visma teammates dominated the podium at Paris-Nice. The Belgian won in Italy in 2020, but admittedly made a poor gamble in last year’s race and had to settle for third place.

Last year’s second-place finisher Caleb Ewan (+450) is expected to be a strong contender on the 293km track once again. After claiming stage 3 at Tirreno-Adriatico last week, the Australian rider pulled out during the early climbs of stage 4 in the Appenines, saying he wanted to focus on his final preparations for Milan-San Remo. Ewan placed second in 2018 as well, has elite finishing speed, and is superb on short climbs.

Can Julian Alaphilippe rebound?

Julian Alaphilippe (+900) won this event in 2019 and placed second in 2020 before settling for a disappointing 16th place last year when his Poggio attack came up short. The French world champion was banged up in a nasty high-speed crash at Strade Bianche a few weeks back, but should be back in fine form for this one.

Rising star Tadej Pogacar (+3300) took advantage of the crash, sprinting to victory with 50km to go in the iconic race across the Tuscan hills. He’s one of our preferred bets at Milan-San Remo.

Wout Van Aertto win Milan-San Remo
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Caleb Ewanto win Milan-San Remo
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Buyer Beware

Sonny Colbrelli is probably overvalued at +1200, considering the Italian withdrew from Paris-Nice due to bronchitis and might not be in peak condition to win in his home country. Same goes for Todd Pidcock (+1500), who missed Strade Bianche with a stomach virus after taking 18th at Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and 70th at Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne.

And don’t wager on Mads Pederson at +2000. Despite winning stage 3 of Paris-Nice, the Dane has decided to forego “La Primavera” on March 19 so he can concentrate on the upcoming cobbled Classics.

 Best Bet

Tadej Pogacar won his Tour de France debut in 2020 and again in 2021, claiming three stages each year as well as the mountains and young rider classifications. Considering the Slovenian looks to be in peak form after his stage 4 victory at Tirreno-Adriatico, the 22-year-old “Cannibal” looks like a steal at +3300.

Tadej Pogacarto win Milan-San Remo
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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