Colorado Rockies (+140) at New York Mets (-155, 7 o/u)
Family may be “forever,” but familia clearly doesn’t have that kind of shelf life; or at least Mets’ closer Jeurys Familia doesn’t. After going 36 for 36 in save situations to open the year, the shutdown hurler has blown two saves in two straight games, as New York (53-48, 27-23 Home) keeps tumbling down the standings.
Now lefty Stephen Matz (8-6, 3.36 ERA) takes to the bump to try to reverse the Mets’ fortunes before it’s too late. But it won’t be easy as the hard hitting Colorado Rockies (50-52, 25-28 Away) are red-hot coming into tonight’s tilt at Citi Field (7:10 PM Eastern).
The Mets haven’t been able to string together back-to-back wins since returning from the All-Star break, spinning their tires at 6-7 in the second half. It was no secret this offense wasn’t great, but averaging just 2.5 runs per game over their last ten is absolutely brutal. With New York pretty much demanding perfect pitching in order to win games, Familia’s struggles couldn’t have come at a worse time.
The Miami Marlins have leapfrogged the Mets into second-place in the NL East, and now New York has to pass them and the St. Louis Cardinals to grab the second Wild Card.
Meanwhile,the Rockies are backing up their always potent offense with acceptable pitching and, as a result, have won seven of the last eight. Colorado’s usually unreliable starting pitchers have thrown quality starts in six of the last seven outings, and they’ll hope righty Tyler Chatwood (9-6, 3.96 ERA) can keep the trend going. He threw five scoreless innings allowing just one hit in his last outing, but that came against the lowly Braves.
Chatwood won’t have to be perfect against a Mets order hitting just .238 on the year. On the other hand, Matz can’t make a mistake against the likes of Trevor Story and Nolan Arenado. While his last outing was a clean six innings in a win over the Marlins, Matz had lost his last five decisions before that.
The direction the Mets are trending is not one that inspires confidence from a betting perspective. I’ll roll with the road team tonight until New York proves otherwise.
Pick: Rockies (+140).
(Photo credit: Arturo Pardavila III (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.)