2025 Malaysian Grand Prix Picks: Can Marquez make his move?

  • What: 2025 Malaysian Grand Prix
  • Date: Friday, October 24-26, 2025
  • Location: Sepang International Circuit
  • Where: Sepang, Selangor, Malaysia

The circus rolls into Sepang this weekend, and if history tells us anything…Buckle up.

This isn’t just another race. The Malaysian Grand Prix at Sepang International Circuit is renowned for delivering absolute chaos, and 2025 looks no different. The track itself is a masterpiece.

Sepang is one of MotoGP’s longest and widest circuits, at 3.444 miles, with 15 corners and two brutally long straights. If riders are brave enough, bikes can run five or six wide. The sweeping, multi-lined corners invite overtaking, while the tight, cambered hairpins at Turns 1, 9, and 15 have produced some of the sport’s most memorable moments.

Then there’s the weather. Heat and humidity create a suffocating atmosphere inside the helmet. Riders battle not just each other, but the elements. Rain clouds loom constantly, adding another layer of unpredictability to an already volatile weekend.

Sepang never disappoints. And with three rounds left in a record-breaking season, this weekend could deliver yet another first-time winner.

Race kicks off Sunday at 7 AM GMT. Don’t blink.

​Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the 2025 Malaysian GP, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our betting picks for the 2025 MotoGP Championship.

2025 Malaysian MotoGP Odds

To Win 2025 Malaysian Moto GPBetOnline Sportsbook & Casino Review 2025BetUS Sportsbook Review 2025Bovada Sportsbook Review 2025
Francesco Bagnaia+400+400+400
Alex Marquez+500+500+500
Fermin Aldeguer+1200+1200+1200
Marco Bezzecchi+1800+1800+1800
Jack Miller+2000+2000+2000
Enea Bastianini+2200+2200+2200
Fabio Di Giannantonio+2500+2500+2500
Pedro Acosta+2800+2800+2200
Fabio Quartararo+3300+3300+3300
Franco Morbidelli+3500+3500+3500
Brad Binder+5000+5000+5000
Johann Zarco+8000+8000+8000
Raul Fernandez+8000+8000+8000
Joan Mir+8000+8000+8000
Luca Marini+15000+15000+15000
Alex Rins+25000+25000+25000
Miguel Oliveira+25000+25000+25000
Lorenzo Savadori+100000+100000+100000

But the real story? The chaos of 2025.

Marc Márquez, Maverick Viñales, and Jorge Martín are all sidelined with injuries. Wildcards Michele Pirro, Pol Espargaró, and Lorenzo Savadori step in to fill the void. Yamaha’s Augusto Fernández returns on the highly anticipated V4 bike, looking to deliver at one of the manufacturer’s most important races.

Raúl Fernández arrives as MotoGP’s newest winner after his stunning debut victory at Phillip Island. Can he back it up at a track where he’s scored just one point in his entire premier-class career?

With five different winners in the last five races, anything is possible. The forecast? Unpredictable. The field? Wide open. The racing? Unmissable.

Alex Marquez

​With Marc sidelined, Alex Márquez faces his chance. He’s always ridden in his brother’s shadow, but Sepang could be when he steps out.

Alex has shown flashes of brilliance throughout 2025, particularly on tracks that reward smooth, calculated riding over raw aggression. With Sepang’s long, flowing corners and multiple racing lines—features that suit his style perfectly—he now faces his best chance yet to win.

He’s handled pressure before, finishing on the podium twice this season, and with several frontrunners out injured, the door is wide open for Alex to secure his first victory.

The question is: Can he capitalize on this opportunity?

Alex thrives in unpredictable situations. At Phillip Island, he ran inside the top five before a mechanical issue ended his race. At Sepang, with reduced competition and unpredictable weather potentially leveling the field, he could finally break through for his first premier-class victory.

The ingredients are there. The opportunity is real. If Alex can stay composed in the heat and navigate the unrest, don’t be shocked if he’s standing on the top step come Sunday.

The younger Márquez has been waiting for this moment. Sepang might just deliver it. Anything can happen—and Alex could be the next name on the winners’ list. I would wager on Marquez to win the Malaysian Grand Prix at +500.

Alex MarquezTO WIN 2025 Malaysian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+500
Bet now

Francesco Bagnaia

The two-time world champion returns to last year’s scene of a 17-lead-change battle with Jorge Martín. But this isn’t the same Bagnaia.

There appears to be a challenge.

Phillip Island was difficult—he was running 19th before crashing out. He hasn’t finished in the top eight in his last two races. For the first time since 2022, Ducati’s factory rider has dropped out of the championship’s top three, overtaken by Marco Bezzecchi’s current form.

Bagnaia’s Ducati looks unsettled, as if both rider and machine are struggling to find their rhythm, eager for the season to be over. The determination that drove previous campaigns now seems to have faded. Sepang has brought him victory before—but can a familiar circuit truly revive a season that feels beyond saving?

If Pecco can’t find speed at Sepang—a track perfectly matched to Ducati’s strengths—it may be a clear sign of bigger issues ahead for 2025.

This is his chance to prove the champion isn’t finished. I would pass on Bagnaia at +400. 

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2025 Malaysian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+400
Bet now

Marco Bezzecchi

While Bagnaia crumbles, his fellow Ducati rider is doing the exact opposite. Bezzecchi has surged past Pecco into the championship’s top three for the first time since 2022, riding a wave of momentum that shows no signs of breaking.

“Bez” has found something in recent races that’s transformed his season. The consistency that plagued him earlier in the year has vanished, replaced by podium finishes and top-five results that have vaulted him up the standings.

Sepang could be the perfect stage for Bezzecchi to cement his status as Ducati’s in-form rider. The satellite bike is singing, and Marco’s confidence is sky-high. He’s proven he can handle pressure, and with Bagnaia struggling, the spotlight shifts to him as Ducati’s best hope for a strong finish to 2025.

If the recent form holds, don’t be surprised if Bezzecchi stands on the podium—or even higher—come Sunday. Bezzecchi is a fun flier to wager on at +1800 odds.

Marco BezzecchiTO WIN 2025 Malaysian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+240
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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