NBA Betting: Mavericks at Heat Free Pick

Lebron James and the Heat still have nightmares of the defeat in the finals against the Mavs in the summer; they know every time they play Dallas is an opportunity for revenge. Dallas and Miami meet this Thursday night at the American Airlines Arena at 8 PM ET.

The Heat is currently in “mini crisis” mode as they have lost their last two games in a row against the Thunder and Pacers; both as visitors. “Sometimes, you go through these spells in an NBA season, and it’s a struggle,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said.

James is listed probable for the game against the Mavs as he is suffers from a dislocating the ring finger on his left, non-shooting, hand. “The only recovery for it, the doctors told me, was rest,” James said. “And I think we all know I’m having none of that.”

These two teams met on Christmas day with a 105-94 victory for Miami. It was a one sided game to be honest. “We’ve got to think back to Christmas Day because that was a miserable experience for us,” Dallas coach Rick Carlisle said. “That was really tough. I was watching some of it (Tuesday). They played terrific, and they were great that day, and we weren’t, and so we’re going to have to play a lot better.”

The Oddsmakers currently have the Heat listed as 8-point favorites versus the Mavericks, with the game total sitting at 188½. The trends say Dallas is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami, and 14-3 SU in their last 17 games when playing Miami, but I just don’t see the Mavs winning this Thursday.

The Heat is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home, and they afford to lose another game in a row; take them to win the game and cover the spread.

Geoff Johnson

MTS co-founder Geoff Johnson is a lifelong Mets fan, something he can’t do anything about. He has a great track record when it comes to wagering on baseball – largely because he’s more than willing to bet against the Mets. His career profits are impressive, but not quite as good as his handsome friend Frank Lorenzo. He wishes he hadn’t let Frank write his profile.