NCAAF Odds – (2) Florida State at (25) Louisville

Arguably the toughest game away game this season for the defending National Champions, the Florida State Seminoles (7-0, 4-0 ACC) will travel to Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium to face the Louisville Cardinals (6-2, 4-2 ACC) this Thursday (7:30 p.m. Eastern).

(2) Florida State Seminoles at (25) Louisville Cardinals (+4, 50.5 o/u)

Arguably the toughest game away game this season for the defending National Champions, the Florida State Seminoles (7-0, 4-0 ACC) will travel to Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium to face the Louisville Cardinals (6-2, 4-2 ACC) this Thursday (7:30 p.m. Eastern).

Florida State is still unbeaten after seven games, and they came in at No. 2 in the first ever College Football Playoff Selection Committee rankings. (Mississippi State is No.1; Auburn is No. 3; and Ole Miss is No. 4.)

The off-field problems continue for the Seminoles. But, this time, it’s not QB Jameis Winston at the center of it. Starting RB Karlos Williams is being investigated for an alleged domestic battery incident, and also has some alleged connection to a robbery that occurred in June. Though his status with the team is “under review”, the latest information says Williams will be in the lineup against Louisville.

“There’s another false report, and that’s amazing how things happen here,” Seminoles Jimbo Fisher said at the time. “Whoever’s got sources and whoever’s got rumors needs to check who they are talking to ’cause that is about as far from the truth as there is. Amazing isn’t it?”

It’s no secret that FSU will stand a better chance with Williams in the backfield. Louisville has the fourth best scoring defense in the nation, allowing 14.6 points per game. They are also first in total defense (243.9 yards per game) and rushing defense (66.9 yards per game).

The two losses on the Cardinals’ resume came against Virginia (23-21) and Clemson (23-17). Against Virginia, Louisville turned the ball over four times; the defense almost bailed them out, again, with three takeaways of their own, but, in the end, Louisville came up just short. Against Clemson, penalties precipitated the loss; the Cardinals surrendered just 229 total yards, but were flagged 14 times. The moral of the story is that the Cardinals tend to win, unless they beat themselves.

Turning to the lines and trends, the Seminoles are four-point favorites at the moment, and the over/under is at 50.5 points. Florida State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road, but Louisville is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games at home.

(Photo credit: Spc. Kirby Rider [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons. Photo has been cropped from its original.)

Frank Lorenzo

MTS co-founder Frank “Let It Ride” Lorenzo has been betting on sports since he was legally allowed to do so. (Did he do so before then, too? No comment.) He enjoys very strong coffee, neon lights, and passing on his wealth of betting knowledge to anyone who will listen.