NCAAF Week 14 Sneak Peek – (1) Mississippi State at (10) Ole Miss

For a few more hours, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-1, 5-1 SEC) remain the number one team in the nation – at least according to the CFP Selection Committee’s rankings.  After a 25-20 loss on the road to Alabama last weekend, the Bulldogs are going to vacate the zenith in the next iteration of the committee’s top-25, though continued residence in the top-four is likely.

This weekend, Mississippi State gets a break from SEC action as Vanderbilt comes to town.  Two weeks from now, though, the Bulldogs will travel to Oxford to face their arch-rival, No. 10 Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2 SEC).  The Bulldogs and Rebels will clash on Saturday, November 29, at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

Against the Tide, Bulldogs QB Dak Prescott completed 27 of his 48 passes for 290 yards and two touchdowns, but he was also intercepted three times by a dominant Alabama defense, including once in the end zone.  Prescott will be up against a similar defense when he faces Ole Miss – the only team that gives up fewer points per game than Alabama (11.9).

Ole Miss has two great wins on the year: a 23-17 victory over Alabama (the Tide’s only loss of the season) and a 35-20 win on the road against then-No. 10 Texas A&M.  But, heading into a week 13 game against Arkansas, the Rebels have lost two of their last three: 10-7 on the road to LSU and 35-31 at home to Auburn. They ended their two-game losing streak last weekend against an over matched Presbyterian Blue Hose (48-0).  With two losses, the playoffs are likely out of reach for the Rebels, but crushing the hopes of their cross-state rivals would be a great consolation prize.

If you’re looking for some trends in the battle of Mississippi: the home team in the series has won the last three games while covering the spread; the Bulldogs’ last victory in Oxford was in 2010, and they have dropped six of the last seven on the road against the Rebels.

(Photo credit: JustDog (Own work) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons. Photo has been cropped.)

Frank Lorenzo

MTS co-founder Frank “Let It Ride” Lorenzo has been betting on sports since he was legally allowed to do so. (Did he do so before then, too? No comment.) He enjoys very strong coffee, neon lights, and passing on his wealth of betting knowledge to anyone who will listen.