A Complete Look at NFL Week 7 Odds (UPDATED)

Can the Cowboys continue their hot start and follow a win at Seattle with a divisional victory? Could the Bengals and Colts be a playoff preview? Will the Jets cover the spread for the first time this season? The Eagles and Bucs have the week off, but there are still 15 games on the schedule. Let’s breakdown the NFL’s upcoming week 7 action.

Can the Cowboys continue their hot start and follow a win at Seattle with a divisional victory? Could the Bengals and Colts be a playoff preview? Will the Jets cover the spread for the first time this season? The Eagles and Bucs have the week off, but there are still 15 games on the schedule. Let’s breakdown the NFL’s upcoming week 7 action.

Thursday

New York Jets (1-5) at New England (4-2) – Spread: Pats -10

The Jets have not played well on the road this year and now face a stiff challenge in New England. New York fell at Green Bay 31-24 in week 2 and were shutout 31-0 on October 5 in San Diego. This is the first divisional game of the year for the Jets, who do a good job running the ball and stopping the ground game, but are only average defending the pass and have the worst passing offense in the NFL. The Patriots are not off to their typically great start, but have been reliable at home and are trending up, and after beating Buffalo last week have the lead in the weak AFC East. New England beat the Raiders 16-9 in week 3 and demolished the Bengals 43-17 in week 5 at home. The Pats were 8-0 at home last year and 6-2 against the spread.

 

Sunday

Miami (2-3) at Chicago (3-3) – Spread: Bears -4

The Dolphins are playing just their second true road game of the season. Miami fell at Buffalo 29-10 in week two and beat the Raiders in London 38-14 on September 28. This is the second straight game against NFC North competition for Miami after losing to Green Bay in the final seconds last week. The Bears are playing their only home game during a six week span. Chicago is 0-2 at home with losses against Buffalo (23-20 in overtime) and the Packers (38-17). Dating back to the start of last season, the Bears are 1-7-2 against the spread at home. Chicago’s home games have gone over seven times in ten occasions dating back to the start of the 2013 season.

Atlanta (2-4) at Baltimore (4-2) – Spread: Ravens -7

The Falcons were 1-7 on the road last year and are 0-3 this season. Atlanta is 0-3 against the spread away from home this year after going 3-5 in 2013. The Falcons lost at Cincinnati 24-10 in week 2, fell at Minnesota 41-28 on September 28, and dropped a 30-20 decision in New York against the Giants in week 5. Baltimore is 2-1 at home following a 6-2 mark last season. The Ravens are 7-4 against the number during those 11 games. This year, Baltimore lost to Cincinnati on opening day at home 23-16, beat the Steelers 26-6 four days later, and took care of Carolina 38-10 in week 4. This is the only home game during a five week run for the Ravens.

Tennessee (2-4) at Washington (1-5) – Spread: Redskins -6

The Titans were road warriors last year going 4-4 away from home and 5-2-1 against the spread. They started this year well winning at Kansas City 26-10 in week 1. However, Tennessee was blown out in Cincinnati (33-7) during week 3 and in Indianapolis (41-17) on September 28. This is the only road game in a four week stretch for the Titans. The Redskins are 1-2 at home with their lone victory coming against the basement-dwelling Jaguars. They fell to the Giants 45-14 in week 4, and at Seattle 27-17 in week 5. The Skins are 4-7 at home against the spread during the past two seasons.

Seattle (3-2) at St. Louis (1-4) – Spread: Seahawks -7

As good as the Seahawks have been the past three seasons, their road numbers are only average. Seattle is 11-7 against the spread on the road during the past three years, while going 14-5 at home. Seattle lost at San Diego 30-21 in week 2 and beat the Redskins 27-17 October 6. The Seahawks are among the best teams in the NFL both running the ball and defending the ground game, though in their loss to Dallas on Sunday, the Seahawks surrendered 160 rushing yards and were limited to 80. This is the second of two straight home games for St. Louis, who have struggled in Missouri this year. Despite leading 14-0, the Rams fell to San Francisco on Monday night 31-17, dropping their home record to 0-3. St. Louis has dropped three straight and six of the last seven meetings with Seattle. Their average margin of loss in the six games is 12.3 points.

Cleveland (3-2) at Jacksonville (0-6) – Spread: Browns -6

The Browns are looking for consecutive road wins for the first time since 2008 after winning in Nashville 29-28 during week 5. After trailing 28-3, Cleveland put together the biggest comeback for a road team in NFL history. The Browns lost at Pittsburgh 30-27 in week 1, their only other road game this year. The Jags two home games have had the same result but been contrasts in styles. Indianapolis led Jacksonville 30-0 at halftime and cruised to a 44-17 victory in week 3. Against the Steelers on October 5, the Jags led early and trailed 10-9 in the fourth quarter, ultimately falling 17-9. Jacksonville is 2-16 against the spread at home over the past three seasons.

Cincinnati (3-1-1) at Indianapolis (4-2) – Spread: Colts -3.5

The Bengals have been very good at home recently but only average on the road. Dating back to the start of last year, Cincinnati is 4-6 away from home and 3-6-1 against the spread. The Bengals started the year with a 23-16 win at Baltimore and got trounced in New England 43-17 on October 5. Cincinnati has three straight road games after this tilt. The Colts lost their home opener in Philadelphia 30-27 but have won two consecutive games in front of their fans beating Tennessee 41-17 and Baltimore 20-13. Indy is 15-4 at home during the past three years and 14-5 versus the spread.

Minnesota (2-4) at Buffalo (3-3) – Spread: Bills -4.5

The Vikings played well in their season opening 34-6 road win over St. Louis before getting outscored 62-19 in their next two road games against the Saints and Packers (both losses). Minnesota went 0-7-1 away from home last year but finished 4-4 against the spread. The Vikings destroyed Buffalo 38-14 in their last meeting. This matchup is sandwiched between divisional games for the Bills who lost to New England last week and travel to New York in week 8. Buffalo went 1-4 following divisional tilts last year. They are 1-2 at home this season straight up and against the number. The Bills were 4-4 at home last year and 6-2 against the spread.

New Orleans (2-3) at Detroit (4-2) – Spread: Lions -3

The Saints exit their bye week looking for their first road victory of the season. New Orleans is 2-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. They lost 37-34 in overtime at Atlanta in week 1, fell 26-24 at Cleveland in week 2, and dropped a 38-17 week 4 decision to Dallas. Since the start of last year, New Orleans is 1-10 against the number on the road. The Saints have won four straight regular season games following byes, though, with an average margin of victory just under 20 points. The Lions looked good at home early this year beating the Giants 35-14 and Green Bay 19-7, but suffered a surprise 17-14 home loss to Buffalo in week 5. Detroit is just 8-11 straight up and against the number over the past three years at home. The Lions are good on defense, and pass the ball effectively, but have struggled in the ground game.

Carolina (3-2-1) at Green Bay (4-2) – Spread: Packers -7

The Panthers are on the road for the third time in four weeks and the opponents aren’t getting any easier. This is the second of five straight games for Carolina against teams that made the playoffs last year. The Panthers are 1-1-1 away from home after their 37-37 tie in Cincinnati on Sunday. Carolina beat the Bucs in Tampa Bay to open the year, and fell at Baltimore 38-10 in week 4. Last season, Ron Rivera’s team went 5-3 away from home and 3-5 against the spread. In 2012, the Panthers were 4-4 on the road but 6-2 against the number. Green Bay is 2-0 at home with convincing wins against the Jets and Vikings. The Packers have won five of their last seven meetings with Carolina but are just 3-2 all time against the Panthers at Lambeau Field.

Kansas City (2-3) at San Diego (5-1) – Spread: Chargers -4

The Chiefs come off of a bye week following a 22-17 loss at San Francisco. Kansas City dropped a 24-17 decision at Denver in week 2 and their lone road win came against Miami (34-15) on September 21. After starting last year 9-0, the Chiefs dropped three straight following their bye. Kansas City coach Andy Reid lost six straight games after his bye week when coaching Philadelphia in 2012, but won following the week off every season between 1999 and 2012. After starting the year with three home games in five weeks, San Diego is playing their only game in front of friendly fans during a four week span. The Chargers have beaten Seattle, Jacksonville, and the Jets (the latter two convincingly) at home this season. San Diego is 8-3 straight up and against the spread under Mike McCoy at home.

Arizona (4-1) at Oakland (0-5) – Spread: Arizona -4

The Cardinals, who are off to a solid start, are in the Bay Area looking to improve to 2-1 on the road this year. Arizona beat the Giants in New York 25-14 in week 2, and fell at Denver 41-20 on October 5. Last season the Cards were 4-4 on the road and 5-2-1 against the spread. Following a bye week and coaching change, the Raiders are at home for a second straight week. They hung tough against San Diego on Sunday, but ultimately lost 31-28. The Raiders have not had a winning home mark against the spread in any of the past seven seasons and are 1-2 this year. The teams have split their last four matchups.

New York Giants (3-3) at Dallas (5-1) – Spread: Dallas -6

For a second straight week, the Giants play a divisional road game. Strangely, New York plays all three of their NFC East rivals on the road before any of them travel to MetLife Stadium. The Giants are hoping this week goes more like their 45-14 win in Washington on September 25 and less like last weekend’s 27-0 loss to the Eagles. Dallas won both meetings between the teams last year, though each game was decided by less than a touchdown. The teams have split their last eight matchups. Dallas is 2-1 at home with wins over New Orleans and Houston, and a 28-17 opening day loss to San Francisco so far this year. The Cowboys were 5-3 at home last year, but is coming off of arguably the best win of the season in the NFL, a 30-23 victory in Seattle.

San Francisco (4-2) at Denver (4-1) – Spread: Broncos -6.5

The Niners and Broncos have each made Super Bowl appearances in the last couple of years but neither has hoisted the Lombardi Trophy. San Francisco is coming off of a Monday night game on the road – a 31-17 win over the Rams – so they have a short week to prepare. The 49ers have won two straight versus Denver with their last matchup in London in 2010. San Francisco has also won five of their last seven against Denver, but that dates back to a 55-10 win in the 1990 Super Bowl. The Broncos are 3-0 at home this year and 17-2 at home in the last three seasons. They are 11-7-1 against the spread during those 19 home games.

 

Monday

Houston (3-3) at Pittsburgh (3-3) – Spread: Steelers -3.5

The Texans are on the road, again. Houston’s schedule has two road games in the first three weeks, three over the first five games, and five during the opening half of the year. Thus far, Houston is 1-2 away from home with a win at Oakland, a loss against the Giants, and an overtime setback in Dallas. The Texans are 2-2 all time against Pittsburgh and 1-1 at Heinz Field. The Steelers are 1-1 at home this year with a win over Cleveland and a loss to Tampa Bay. Pittsburgh has gone 5-3 at home each of the last two years. This is the first of three straight home games for the Steelers.