Updated 2018 NFL Odds: Post-Schedule Release

  • The 2018 NFL schedule has been released. 
  • The Packers and Saints have it toughest, while the Texans and Titans have the easiest slate.
  • How has the schedule release affected the early odds for next season?

Though the 2018 NFL season doesn’t kick off for nearly five months, the schedule makers can already put their feet up and relax, having finished their work for another year.

Because each team only plays 16 games, the NFL schedule is, by definition, imbalanced. The league tries to create parity with certain scheduling rules — division-winners have to play more division-winners, for example. But it’s impossible to make things completely even/fair and, every year, certain teams are given an arduous path to the postseason, while others get a road that’s so straight and smooth they can lock it in cruise control circa Week 4.

Here’s the full strength-of-schedule ranking for 2018 (from ESPN), followed by the new odds for Super Bowl 53, updated 2018 win totals, and over/unders on the longest winning/losing streaks to start next season.

The NFL’s 2018 strength of schedule rankings

 

Super Bowl 53 Odds

  • Philadelphia Eagles: 7/1
  • New England Patriots: 8/1
  • Minnesota Vikings: 11/1
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 29/2
  • Los Angeles Rams: 15/1
  • Green Bay Packers: 17/1
  • New Orleans Saints: 20/1
  • San Francisco 49ers: 22/1
  • Houston Texans: 23/1
  • Atlanta Falcons: 27/1
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 27/1
  • Carolina Panthers: 29/1
  • Dallas Cowboys: 38/1
  • Seattle Seahawks: 40/1
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 42/1
  • Denver Broncos: 45/1
  • Oakland Raiders: 50/1
  • Baltimore Ravens: 54/1
  • Tennessee Titans: 56/1
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 58/1
  • Detroit Lions: 60/1
  • Indianapolis Colts: 65/1
  • Miami Dolphins: 65/1
  • New York Giants: 68/1
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 70/1
  • Washington Redskins: 70/1
  • Buffalo Bills: 75/1
  • Arizona Cardinals: 80/1
  • Cincinnati Bengals: 80/1
  • Chicago Bears: 90/1
  • Cleveland Browns: 95/1
  • New York Jets: 95/1

Updated 2018 Win Totals

AFC East

  • Patriots: 12.0
  • Dolphins: 6.5
  • Jets: 5.5
  • Bills: 5.5

AFC North

  • Steelers: 10.5
  • Ravens: 8.5
  • Bengals: 6.5
  • Browns: 4.5

AFC South

  • Texans: 9.5
  • Jaguars: 9.0
  • Titans: 7.5
  • Colts: 6.5

AFC West

  • Chargers: 8.5
  • Broncos: 7.5
  • Chiefs: 7.5
  • Raiders: 7.5

NFC East

  • Eagles: 11.5
  • Cowboys: 9.5
  • Giants: 7.5
  • Washington: 6.5

NFC North

  • Packers: 10.5
  • Vikings: 9.5
  • Lions: 7.5
  • Bears: 6.0

NFC South

  • Saints: 10.5
  • Falcons: 8.5
  • Panthers: 8.5
  • Buccaneers: 6.5

NFC West

  • Rams: 10.5
  • 49ers: 9.5
  • Seahawks: 8.5
  • Cardinals: 5.5

O/U Longest Start-of-Season Win Streaks

  • Patriots: 7.5
  • Packers: 5.5
  • Steelers: 4.5
  • Eagles: 4.5
  • Saints: 4.5
  • Rams: 3.5

If the Patriots get past the Jaguars on the road in Week 2, the schedule shapes up nicely for a lengthy undefeated run out of the gate. Their toughest game after that is a (seemingly yearly) clash with the Steelers at Heinz Field in Week 15.

The Packers will get a stiff test from the Vikings in Week 2, as well, but that one’s at Lambeau, and the rest of the schedule is pretty cakey until the Niners in Week 6.

O/U Longest Start-of-Season Losing Streaks

  • Giants: 5.5
  • Bills: 5.0
  • Buccaneers: 4.5
  • Jets: 4.5
  • Browns: 4.0
  • Bengals: 3.5

Sorry, Big Blue Nation, it could be another brutal, winless start to the season: the G-Men might not be favored in a game until Week 8 when they host Washington. Before that, they play Jacksonville (home), Dallas (road), Houston (road), New Orleans (home), Carolina (road), and Philadelphia (home). Ouch!

 

AlexanderP

Alexander is the MTS editor-in-chief. Frank, Alex, and Geoff brought him in when they realized that their betting expertise far surpassed their grammatical abilities. He loves overanalyzing college basketball trends. Talking to him during the first weekend of March Madness is like talking to a wall. A very focused wall, but a wall nonetheless.