Your First Look at NFL Week Five Betting

After six teams were off last week during the first Sunday of byes in the NFL, this week only Miami and Oakland are absent from the schedule after playing in London a week ago. Let’s take a look at week five around the league.

After six teams were off last week during the first Sunday of byes in the NFL, this week only Miami and Oakland are absent from the schedule after playing in London a week ago. Let’s take a look at week five around the league.

Thursday

Minnesota at Green Bay

The Vikings have had mixed results on the road beating St. Louis 34-6 and falling at New Orleans 20-9. Teddy Bridgewater replaced the injured Matt Cassel at the Superdome and this will be his first road start. Last year Minnesota did not win away from home yet went 4-4 against the spread. They are 1-1 versus the number on the road this season. The Packers play just their second home game of the year. They beat the Jets 31-24 during week two, a push against the number. Last year Green Bay was 3-5 at home against the spread. The Lions beat the Packers 40-10 in their only Thursday game last season.

 

Sunday

Chicago at Carolina

The Bears are back on the road for the first of two straight games. Chicago is 2-0 away from home with eight point victories over San Francisco and the Jets. Last year Chicago was 3-5 on the road straight up and against the spread. The Bears were an average rushing team last season but have had little luck running the ball this season. The Panthers are 1-1 at home after a 27-7 win over Detroit and a 37-19 setback against Pittsburgh. After this game Carolina plays five straight opponents that made the playoffs last year. The Panthers were 7-1 at home last season including 6-1-1 against the number. Carolina has allowed yards on the ground this season but have been tough against the pass.

Cleveland vs. Tennessee

The Titans began the season with three of four games on the road with all three opponents squads that made the playoffs last year. They return home for back-to-back games against the Browns and Jaguars. Tennessee lost their only home game, a 26-10 setback in week two against Dallas. Tennessee went 6-6-4 against the spread last year but just 1-4-3 at home. The Browns come off a bye at 1-2 with close loses against Baltimore and Pittsburgh and a victory against New Orleans. Starting today the Browns play five straight teams that failed to make the playoffs last year. Cleveland is 4-7 after a bye during the last 11 years. The Titans have won eight of the last 11 match-ups in this series.

St. Louis vs. Philadelphia

The Rams come off a bye week at 1-2 having won their only road game and lost two at home. They won at Tampa Bay 19-17 in week two and now begin a stretch of eight straight games against teams that either made the playoffs or won 10 games last season. St. Louis is 1-0-1 after a bye under Jeff Fisher with a win over Chicago and a draw with San Francisco. They’ve outscored opponents after a bye 35-7 in the first quarter. The Eagles are 2-0 at home with a 34-17 win over the Jags and a 37-34 victory against Washington. Last year Philadelphia went 4-4 at home and just 3-5 against the spread while going 6-2 on the road (5-3 vs. the number). Philadelphia is an elite passing team while the Rams greatest strength is pass defense.

Atlanta vs. New York Giants

The Falcons are on the road for a second straight week and third time in their last four games. Last year Atlanta went 1-7 away from home and 3-5 against the spread. Matt Ryan has been among the best passers in the NFL this season and will face a Giants squad that has been mediocre defending opposing quarterbacks. New York has extra days to prepare for this game after torching Washington September 25. The Giants are 1-1 at home with a 25-14 loss against Arizona, and a 30-17 win over Houston. New York has not had a winning mark against the spread at home since 2008.

Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans

The Bucs are on the road for a third straight week and face a high octane offense that they’ve struggled with recently. New Orleans has won five straight against Tampa Bay with the games being decided by an average of more than 17 points. In three straight wins at home the Saints have outscored the Bucs by an average of 25.7 points a game. New Orleans won their only home game this year 20-9 over Minnesota. The Saints were 8-0 at home last season and 7-0-1 against the spread.

Houston vs. Dallas

A battle of Texas takes place in Arlington with Houston 1-1 on the road and Cowboys playing their fifth straight out-of-division game to start the year. The Texans won at Houston 30-14 and fell against the Giants in New York 30-17. While Houston went 1-7 against the spread at home last year, they were 3-5 on the road. During the Texans 12 win season two years ago they were 6-2 on the road but only 4-4 against the spread away from home. Dallas has run the ball well this year and Houston struggles to defend the ground game. The Cowboys were 5-3 last year straight up and against the spread at home. Dallas has beaten Houston by two touchdowns or more in two straight meetings.

Buffalo vs. Detroit

For a second straight week and third time in five weeks the Bills are on the road. Buffalo has been improved away from home this year after going 2-6 straight up and against the number on the road last year. The Bills have done a very good job stopping the run this year but struggled in pass defense. Detroit is 2-0 at home with wins over the Giants and Packers. They’ve surprisingly been among the best defensive teams in the NFL while also putting up big numbers offensively though the air. The Lions have gone 6-10 against the spread and 3-5 at home during each of the last two seasons.

Baltimore vs. Indianapolis

After playing three of their first four games at home the Ravens are back on the road to face Indianapolis. Baltimore knocked off Cleveland 23-21 in their only game outside of Maryland this year. Last season the Ravens went 2-5-1 against the spread on the road. After the Colts won eight straight match-ups in this series, Baltimore has won the last two meetings. Indianapolis is 1-6 against the AFC North since the start on 2011.The Colts were 5-3 against the spread at home last year and have not been fabulous at Lucas Oil Stadium this year either.

Pittsburgh vs. Jacksonville

For a third time in four weeks the Steelers are on the road. Pittsburgh fell at Baltimore 26-6 in week two and beat the Panthers in Charlotte 37-19 September 21. Last year Pittsburgh went 3-5 on the road and 4-4 against the spread. The Steelers have dominated their opponents on the ground this year. Jacksonville is playing only their second home game of the season. They lost to the Colts 44-17 in week three. The Jags have been miserable on defense this season. While Jacksonville went 4-12 last year and finished 5-10-1 against the spread, the were 1-6-1 against the number at home.

Arizona vs. Denver

The Cardinals are 3-0 and well rested after a bye week. Their lone road win was a 25-14 week two victory against the Giants while they beat the Chargers and Niners at home. When he was the acting coach for the Colts Bruce Arians beat Green Bay following a bye in 2012. Last season the Cardinals rolled off three straight and six wins in seven weeks after the bye. Denver is 2-1 and also coming off a week of rest. The Broncos beat Indianapolis 31-24 and Kansas City 24-17 at home before falling in overtime at Seattle 26-20 in week three. The Broncos are 3-0 in the regular season following a bye under John Fox. After starting 2012 3-3 the Broncos won 10 straight games following their week off.

Kansas City vs. San Francisco

The Chiefs play their third road game in four weeks with mixed results thus far. Kansas City lost at Denver 24-17 in week two and won seven days later at Miami 34-15. The Chiefs were 7-1 against the spread on the road last year. This is a short week for KC who hosted New England on Monday. The Niners have not been themselves thus far but that shouldn’t be a huge surprise to gamblers. In 2012 and 2013 San Francisco went just 8-8 against the spread at home during a two year run where the team finished 12-3-1 overall in the Bay Area.

New York Jets vs. San Diego

The Jets play their second road game of the season after falling in Green Bay 31-24 during week two. New York went 6-2 against the spread at home last year but just 3-4-1 on the road. The Jets have won four of their last five contests in San Diego. The Chargers are at home for a second straight week and had a marque win over the Seahawks in Southern California 30-21 during week two. San Diego went 5-3 at home straight up and against the number in 2013.

Cincinnati vs. New England

The Bengals are 3-0 and well rested following a week four bye. The Bengals are 4-6-1 following a rest week under Marvin Lewis. In 2013 Cincinnati went 10-5-1 against the number though they were only 2-5-1 on the road. They won and covered their only road game this year 23-16 at Baltimore in week one. The Patriots have beat the Bengals in four of their last five meetings but Cincinnati won 13-6 last year. New England was 8-0 at home in 2013 and 6-2 against the spread. The Bengals last won in New England in 1986. The Pats beat Oakland 16-9 in their home game this season.

 

Monday

Seattle vs. Washington

Seattle is 2-1 and coming off of a bye week. The Seahawks beat Denver in overtime 26-20 on September 21, but lost their only road game, a 30-21 setback against the Chargers in week two. Seattle was 6-2 against the spread on the road last year and 4-4 in 2012. The Seahawks are 2-2 after regular season byes under Pete Carroll. The Redskins have a little extra time to prepare for this game after the Giants manhandled them on September 25. Washington has struggled this year outside of their 41-10 demolition of Jacksonville in week two. Seattle beat Washington in DC during the playoffs two years ago 24-14 outscoring the Skins 11-0 in the second half.