Anderson vs Blachowicz 2 Odds & Picks for UFC Fight Night 167

  • UFC Fight Night 167 takes place at Santa Ana Star Center in Rio Rancho, NM, this Saturday (Feb. 15) at 8:00 PM ET
  • Anderson, who defeated Blachowicz by decision in 2015, is a -210 favorite
  • Expect the winner to call for a shot at UFC light heavyweight champion Jon Jones

On Saturday, the UFC heads to New Mexico for the first time in nearly six years for UFC Fight Night 167. The headlining bout sees Corey Anderson, who is ranked No. 5 in the official UFC light heavyweight rankings vs. the No. 6 ranked Jan Blachowicz. The two met in a three-round contest in 2015 with Anderson winning that matchup by unanimous decision (30-35, 30-25, 29-26).

The UFC Fight Night 167 card streams in its entirety on ESPN+. The main card begins at 8:00 PM ET following prelims, which start at 5:00 PM ET.

ANDERSON VS BLACHOWICZ 2 ODDS

Fighter Odds
Corey Anderson -210
Jan Blachowicz +170

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 167 PREDICTION & PICK

Anderson’s game plan is not flashy and everyone knows what that game plan is. The problem is that his opponents struggle to stop it. Anderson has scored 25 takedowns in his past five wins. Once he gets the fight to the mat, he uses a heavy top game and effective ground strikes to rack up points. If Anderson’s opponents do get back up, he doesn’t struggle to take them back down. Unless Blachowicz has significantly improved his takedown offense and his ability to get to his feet, expect another Anderson victory.

Pick: Anderson (-210)

RECENT FIGHTS & FIRST MEETING

The first time these two met, which took place at UFC 191, the round one was very close. Both men scored a single takedown and the total strikes landed were almost identical, with Anderson landing 25 of 64 and Blachowicz making impact with 24 of 44. Things went differently in the final two rounds.

Anderson dominated the last 10 minutes of the fight. He completed three takedowns on three attempts and landed 63 significant strikes to Blachowicz’s three. Blachowicz only attempted one significant strike in the final stanza of the fight while Anderson landed 20 and completed four passes on the ground. Of Anderson’s 63 significant strikes landed during the final two rounds, 58 came on the ground.

WHO HAS THE EDGE?

While the first fight was difficult for Blachowicz, this rematch could be even more of a challenge. Early in his career, Anderson was almost exclusively a wrestler. However, as Anderson has climbed the light heavyweight rankings and run off four straight wins, he has become much more comfortable in his striking, as evidenced in his November knockout win over Johnny Walker. With that added wrinkle, Anderson’s chance of victory increases.

There’s no doubt Anderson has improved since 2015, but so has Blachowicz. He’s become better at keeping distance while striking and has used that ability to add more leg kicks to his arsenal. That approach could allow him to keep Anderson at bay and make Anderson’s takedowns easier to defend. However, the question is, will Blachowicz be able to keep Anderson away from takedowns for 25 minutes? That might prove to be a difficult task.

BETTING VALUE WITH ANDERSON

Anderson has never been a risky fighter. That fact has hurt him in the court of public opinion. It also made his rise up the rankings a little slower. Had he been a more aggressive fighter in the octagon and a more outspoken competitor outside the cage he most likely would have earned a title shot by now. However, that slow rise has allowed him to develop a more well-rounded game, which makes him a more dangerous competitor.

The odds the first time these two met were nearly even, that’s not the case in the rematch and Anderson’s development is the main reason he is more than a 2-1 favorite on Saturday.

Anderson knows he is very close to a title fight. If he earns a second win over Blachowicz, Anderson could be next in line for a shot at Jon Jones, especially considering Jones has victories over the four fighters ranked ahead of him.

I wouldn’t expect an aggressive fight from Anderson. I think Anderson will test his striking early so he can get some real fight striking reps in and then go to his takedown and ground game to earn a decision win.

FIGHT STATS: ANDERSON VS BLACHOWICZ 2

Corey Anderson Category Jan Blachowicz
30 Age 36
13-4 Record 25-8
5 Knockout Wins 6
0 Submission Wins 9
8 Decision Wins 10
6’3″ Height 6’2″
205 Weight 205
79″ Reach 78″
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
4.45 Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.44
46% Striking Accuracy 49%
2.18 Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 2.76
59% Striking Defense 53%
4.98 Takedown Average Per 15 Minutes 1.18
50% Takedown Accuracy 52%
83% Takedown Defense 65%
0.00 Submission Average Per 15 Minutes 0.3

WHAT’S AT STAKE

Quite simply, the winner of this matchup has a legitimate chance to compete in the next light-heavyweight title fight. So while it’s not a title fight, it’s as high-stakes as a non-title fight gets.

Trent Reinsmith

Trent covers UFC and MMA for MTS. He currently covers MMA for MMA Junkie and Forbes. He has also written for Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively among others. He has been involved with MMA since he and some friends threw some money together to purchase the pay-per-view of UFC 1, and the rest is history.