- Date & Location: Wednesday July 15 @ Yas Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE
- Odds: Calvin Kattar: -325, Dan Ige +250
On July 15, two top-10 ranked featherweights meet in the main event of UFC on ESPN 13. The event is headlined by No. 6 ranked Calvin Kattar against No. 10 ranked Dan Ige.
Kattar is coming off a May knockout win over veteran Jeremy Stephens. Ige last fought in May as well. Like his opponent, he too is coming off a win over a veteran. Ige defeated Edson Barboza via split decision.
KATTAR VS IGE ODDS
KATTAR VS IGE PREDICTION & PICK
The first prediction for this matchup is that it will be an entertaining scrap. The second prediction is that it will go the five-round distance. As for the fighter that will win, here’s more detail on that.
Ige is on a six fight winning streak. His past three fights have all gone to decision and his two most recent outings resulted in split decision wins. Kattar is 3-1 in his past four outings. All three wins have come by knockout.
While Ige has takedown and wrestling skills, I think this will be a striking battle and that favors Kattar, who is taller, has a longer reach, a higher output and the ability to take a lot of shots. Kattar also has an experience advantage.
Both of Ige’s losses have come by decision. I don’t think Kattar will knock Ige out, but I think he will beat him by decision.
Pick: Kattar (-325)
BETTING VALUE WITH KATTAR
There’s a chance that Kattar will score a knockout over Ige in this bout. With Kattar sometimes struggling with slow starts, Ige could come out too aggressive for a five-round fight. If he does so and Kattar drags the fight into the championship rounds, Ige’s cardio could slow. That would give Kattar a chance to land heavier strikes and catch Ige and put him away.
I don’t think that will happen. I believe Ige will conserve his energy and fight smart and safe in the early going as this is his first five-round bout.
With that I believe Kattar by decision is the safe bet.
WHO HAS THE EDGE?
Kattar is taller and has a longer reach and he has higher offensive output. He also has an uncanny ability to find an opening when it presents itself and he can exploit that opening by landing heavy strikes. Kattar also has the sense to know when his opponent is hurt and when he can turn up his output. The one spot where Ige could test Kattar is on the mat, but Kattar has only been taken down twice in his UFC career.
Kattar’s knockout win over Stephens was a good example of everything that Kattar does right. He corrected his issue with slow starts in that fight, pressured Stephens and when he saw an opening, Kattar dropped his opponent with a sneaky elbow in close. He then wrapped things up with ground strikes.
Ige seemed lucky to get the nod in the Barboza fight. It’s unlikely that Ige will land more heavy strikes than Kattar in this scrap, so if this goes to a decision, the visuals are not likely to be on his side. This might be the biggest test of Ige’s career. I don’t believe the same can be said about Kattar.
FIGHT STATS: KATTAR VS IGE
|Calvin Kattar||Category||Dan Ige|
|5.29||Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute||4.12|
|6.46||Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute||3.13|
|0.42||Takedown Average Per 15 Minutes||2.15|
|0.00||Submission Average Per 15 Minutes||0.7|
WHAT’S AT STAKE
As far as timing goes, the winner of this matchup could be in the running for the next featherweight title fight. After all, Alexander Volkanovski just defended the 145-pound crown on Saturday with a win over ex-champ Max Holloway. However, that’s probably not going to be in the cards for the victor.
What the winner will most likely get is a title eliminator bout against a big name opponent. The loser of this fight should stay inside the top-15 of the division, but he will have some rebuilding to do.