UFC 190 Betting Preview – Rousey vs. Correia

On the heels of perhaps one of the best fight cards MMA has ever seen at UFC 189, the UFC will carry that momentum to Brazil this weekend for an event featuring a ton of homeland talent and headlined by the Best Fighter of the Year in Ronda Rousey. While UFC 190′s title fight doesn’t figure to be the war that we saw out of Robbie Lawler and Rory MacDonald, any opportunity to watch one of the sport’s best is worth cashing in on.

Combined with some interesting fights on the main card, including the finale of The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil 4, it may not be a legendary night of fighting, but it should be solid all the same. Here is our look at the final three fights of the night.

Ronda Rousey (-1700) vs Bethe Correia (+1100)

We may someday get to see Ronda Rousey meet her match (perhaps if she ever gets to go a round with Floyd Mayweather), but it doesn’t look like UFC 190 will be that day. With Rousey once again a resounding favorite heading into this fight, the most action won’t surround the result of the fight, but rather when it ends.

Rousey’s threat to drag out the fight in order to punish Correia for some remarks made about her father has piqued a lot of interest. How much longer is “long” for a woman whose last two fights combined totaled just 30 seconds?

There is good value (+385) if you even see the fight making it past 60 seconds. But only four of Rousey’s 11 fights have gone past the minute mark, and two of those came against Miesha Tate. And Bethe Correia is not Miesha Tate. This fight will go as long Rousey wants it to, and with her next fight looking like a rematch with Tate; don’t expect her to waste too much time here.

Mauricio Rua (-190) vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (+165)

Rua and Nogueira became familiar at an insane PRIDE fight back in 2005 and now a decade later they will renew that rivalry. Rua won that fight by decision and he’s favored coming into this light heavyweight bout. Neither is in top form coming into this fight: Rua coming off KO losses to Ovince Saint Preux and Dan Henderson; Nogueira suffering a TKO at the hands of Anthony Johnson, a fight in which he didn’t land a strike.

Both have had a lengthy break, coaching opposite each other for The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil 4. In fact the 39-year-old Nogueira hasn’t fought in a year. That rest should help the old man, but this fight likely won’t go the distance: 85-percent of Rua’s fights end before a decision. Expect Rua to get back on the winning side.

Glaico Franca Moreira (-160) vs Fernando Bruno (+140)

The finale of TUF: Brazil 4‘s lightweight bracket pits the 12-3 Franca vs the 15-2 Bruno. France fought for Rua’s team this season, and packs more striking power, recording six KOs in his career. Not only does Franca hold a 10 lb advantage over Bruno, but he’s almost a decade younger at 24-years-old.

With a height and reach disadvantage as well, the 33-year-old Bruno will win this fight on the ground. He has a strong takedown ability and has won eight fights by submission in his career. The longer this fight goes, the better Bruno’s chances will be. For those unfamiliar with the TUF, he’s certainly worth a look.

(Photo Credit: Zennie Abraham (Flickr) [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/2.0/].)

Boris

Hockey may be a wildly unpopular sport in the U.S., but where no one is paying attention, there's a ton of value for Boris to mine. An avid NHL fan of over 20 years, Malloy made his first bet against a friend during the 2001 Stanley Cup Finals (going against Ray Bourque) and has been hooked ever since. He has yet to pay off that debt of $2, but he's made plenty back since. In between worrying about the league's next lockout, he regularly contributes to MTS and is also fluent in football, basketball, baseball and French (sort of).

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