UFC Fight Night 150: “Jacare” Souza vs Hermansson Betting Preview, Odds & Predictions

  • UFC Fight Night 150 is headlined by a pivotal middleweight matchup between Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza and Jack Hermansson
  • Can Souza punch his ticket to a UFC middleweight title fight?
  • Can Hermansson surprise Souza and continue his rise up the 185-pound rankings?

The UFC returns to Sunrise, Florida for the first time in nearly seven years for this weekend’s UFC Fight Night 150 event, which takes place Saturday, April 27th at BB&T Center. In the main event, Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza, who is ranked no. 4 in the official UFC middleweight rankings faces the no. 10 ranked Jack Hermansson.

Souza has alternated wins and losses over his past five bouts and is coming off a third-round knockout victory over former middleweight champion Chris Weidman in early November. Hermansson, who is on a three-fight winning streak, steps in on short notice to replace Yoel Romero on this card. Hermansson is coming off a stunning first-round submission win over former two-division World Series of Fighting champion David Branch on March 30th.

UFC Fight Night 150: “Jacare” Souza vs Hermansson Odds

Fighter Spread at Bovada
Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza -200
Jack Hermansson +160

Souza has been one of the most feared submission artists in MMA for a long, long time. The Brazilian was a multiple-time world champion in jiu-jitsu before he transitioned to MMA in 2003. He’s used his submission base to rack up 14 submission wins over his lengthy career. Souza has worked very hard to develop his striking to become a more well-rounded fighter over the past several years and has eight KO wins as proof of his striking skills. While he’s still at his best when the fight hits the mat, Souza is unafraid to stand and trade if the situation warrants. Three of Souza’s four most recent wins have come via knockout.

Souza, a former Strikeforce middleweight champion, who always seems to be one win away from earning a UFC title fight, has earned five fight-night bonuses in his past six outings. At 39, Souza’s window to earn a shot at UFC gold is closing fast. UFC President Dana White has said that a win in Florida will secure the veteran competitor, who has been a member of the UFC roster since 2013, a title fight.

Hermansson might have been favored over Branch, but not many would have picked him to defeat the Renzo Gracie black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu via submission. Yet, that’s what Hermansson did, using a head-scratching setup to lock in a guillotine choke to wrap things up in a tidy 49 seconds. The win gave Hermansson his first fight-night bonus award.

The 30-year-old Swede, who has 11 career knockout victories, is best known for his ground-striking acumen, something he’s used to finish several of his UFC opponents, most recently using ground strikes to stop former title challenger Thales Leites in the third round of their UFC 224 bout in May 2018.

Souza vs Hermansson Tale of the Tape

Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza Category Jack Hermansson
39 Age 30
26-6-0-1 Record 19-4
8 Knockout Wins 11
14 Submission Wins 5
72″ Reach 77.5″
6’1″ Height 6’1″
186 pounds Weight 185 pounds
72″ Reach 77″
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
2.61 Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.90
46% Striking Accuracy 56%
2.46 Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 1.77
63% Striking Defense 64%
3.01 Takedown Average Per 15 Minutes 2.38
41% Takedown Accuracy 47%
53% Takedown Defense 73%
1.7 Submission Average Per 15 Minutes 0.9

Don’t expect Hermansson to surprise Souza on the ground in this fight. Souza has grappled with the best of the best since he was a young man and it would be a shock to find out that Hermansson had a submission setup that Souza hasn’t seen and successfully defended at least once in his career. Now, there is a chance the fight gets to the ground and Hermansson will be able to unload some of his massive ground strikes, but there’s even more of a chance that Souza’s deeper overall skill set will prevail.

Pick: Souza (-200)

Trent Reinsmith

Trent covers UFC and MMA for MTS. He currently covers MMA for MMA Junkie and Forbes. He has also written for Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively among others. He has been involved with MMA since he and some friends threw some money together to purchase the pay-per-view of UFC 1, and the rest is history.