United States (-600) vs. Colombia (+1400) (Draw: +650)
Colombia may have shocked France (2-0) during the Group Stage and earned a berth in the Round of 16, but their reward is a meeting with pre-tournament favorite U.S.A. The upstart South Americans will meet Team USA tomorrow at Commonwealth Stadium in Edmonton, Canada (8:00 PM Eastern), hoping to once again turn the women’s soccer world on its head.
The U.S. didn’t dominate during the Group Stage, but did enough to win the “group of death,” posting a 2-1-0 record. They earned an impressive 3-1 win over Australia in their first fixture before drawing Sweden (0-0) and edging Nigeria (1-0).
Striker Abby Wambach scored her team (and world) record 184th career goal in the win over Nigeria. Megan Rapinoe (2) and Christen Press tallied for the U.S. against Australia.
Colombia, on the other hand, struggled apart from the win over France, losing 2-1 to England and drawing Mexico 1-1. Both England and Mexico dominated Colombia in terms of time of possession and had them on their heels early. England opened up a 2-0 lead before Lady Andrade added a meaningless goal in the fourth minute of extra time. Against Mexico, Colombia needed a marker from Daniela Montoya in the 82nd minute to salvage a point.
In reality, Colombia had no business beating France, either, they scored on their only two shots on net, while France had 60-percent of the possession and put 21 shots of their own towards the Colombian net.
With four points in three games, Colombia finished behind both France (6 pts) and England (6 pts) in Group F; but they advanced to the Round of 16 as one of the top-two third-place teams from the Group Stage.
Colombia’s win over France was a nice storyline in what can be a largely predictable sport, but they also lost to teams far inferior to the U.S. There’s little value in betting the U.S. at -600, but it’s still the better play.
Pick: U.S. (-600).
(Photo credit: Hmlarson [CC BY 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons. Photo may appear cropped.)