
The Red Sox have become the talk of the town in the MLB after trading away star third baseman Rafael Devers. The Dominican was having another All-Star season before he was shipped to San Francisco for a measly return, clearly indicating Boston’s desire to rid themselves of his $315 million contract. In an interesting twist, an interleague matchup between the Red Sox and the Giants is lined up for this weekend, giving us our first glimpse of Devers against his only former ballclub. Continue reading for a breakdown for Red Sox vs Giants and get tips and stats to improve your Red Sox betting.
- Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants
- Friday, June 20, 2025
- 10:15 PM EST
- Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- NESN, Fubo, Sling TV, NBC Sports Bay Area, MLB.TV
Red Sox vs Giants Betting Odds
The Giants are favorites, mostly due to their home field status, in this Friday night game. San Francisco can be bet on at a price of (-128). Boston is lined at (+116). The total is 7.5.
MLB Red Sox +116 +116 +116 Giants -128 -128 -128 Over 7.5 -115 -115 -115 Under 7.5 -105 -105 -105
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Boston Ships Away Devers in Shocking Trade
In what could be one of the biggest trades in MLB history, Rafael Devers departs his longtime city of Boston for its sister city in the West, San Francisco. Rumblings of discontent from the front office regarding Devers’ work ethic and teamwork made media rounds all year, potentially contributing to the trade. It was clearly the move was a salary dump as Boston got four low-level prospects in the exchange. Devers is in the third year of a 10-year, $315 million contract, which would end when he’s 35.
Some would argue that despite the meager haul, Boston shedding that fat contract is a worthwhile move, as it frees up money for future investment. It is still up in the air if Boston will be spenders at the deadline. But if the win streak continues, the Red Sox will surely look to replace Devers with another slugger while looking for pitching reinforcements. A first baseman with home run power could be headed Boston’s way by August.
In other roster-related news, Kristian Campbell was designated for assignment after a putrid slash line in the last two months. At the end of April, the infielder was hitting over .300, but his average fell to .159 in the months to follow. Campbell signed an 8-year, $60 million contract this spring, so his designation to triple-A ball is not likely to be a damning sign of his future with Boston. At 22 years old, Campbell still has plenty of time to live up to that long-term deal.
Is San Francisco a Legit Title Contender in 2025?
San Francisco have lit up the news headlines as pundits now laud the Giants as “legit contenders.” Their trade for Devers “solidifies” their position as title candidates according to many, but their placement in a difficult NL West division poses an obstacle. Not many saw the Giants having this success when this season started, but a pitching-focused style has seen them climb the rankings.
Indeed, no team has had a bullpen ERA less than San Francisco since the 1927 Chicago Cubs. Without this elite pitching to start the season, the Giants would likely have not been interested in swallowing Devers’ contract. But priding themselves as true contenders meant investing in better batting. In a park that suppresses power (as I will outline later), it will be interesting to see how Raffy’s statistics develop in San Francisco.
Red Sox vs Giants Betting Prediction
25 miles per hour winds are forecasted to hit Oracle Park, heading straight out to center field. A weather prediction like that would typically have me salivating for a high-scoring game and a bet on the over total runs, but I have to stop myself. Oracle Park is notorious for its resistance to wind impact, with wind having a negligible influence. Therefore, my betting recommendation will have to be on the moneyline.
After a poor stretch of results, Boston collected six wins on the bounce for the first time since July of 2023. Now the team is over .500. Yet advanced analytics suggest the Red Sox are still underperforming against expectations. BaseRuns and pythagorean expectation metrics both imply Boston should have at least 40 wins. In the last two weeks, I pointed to these statistics as indications that the Red Sox will eventually start winning more games and evening out their record. That proved to be true this month, and there is still more reconciliation to follow.
San Francisco is right on the money in terms of wins vs expectation, so I think there is some value in backing the Red Sox at plus money in this matchup. Boston’s projected starting pitcher Hunter Dobbins threw six scoreless innings against his nemesis, the New York Yankees, last time out. A repeat performance like that would have Boston in line for their 40th win of the season.
Back Boston to win at plus money or better.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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