MLB Odds – Who’s Making the 2016 Playoffs?

As September draws near, the MLB season enters its final stretch. Teams like the Rangers, Jays, Cubs, and Nationals find themselves playing with a pennant on their minds, while others will be fielding a minor league roster for the next few weeks.

With just over 30 games left to play in the regular season, no team has been mathematically eliminated from the postseason, and no team has clinched a berth just yet; though, it would take nothing short of a disaster for a couple teams to miss out, and a miracle for a select few to find their way in.

Here are the odds for all 30 teams in the majors to make the playoffs. Yes, even the Twins and Braves are included.

Odds to Make the 2016 MLB Playoffs

American League

Current Playoff Teams

  • Texas Rangers: 1/15
  • Cleveland Indians: 1/11
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 1/9
  • Boston Red Sox: 1/6
  • Baltimore Orioles: 7/5

The Rangers have the best record in the AL and hold an 8.5-game lead over both the Astros and Mariners in the AL West. At this point, it would take a massive collapse for them to miss out on the postseason entirely.

The AL East is far more competitive than the Central; only three wins separate the third-placed Orioles from the front-runner Blue Jays, with the hard-hitting Sox nestled in between. Toronto’s bats have woken up just in time to save their pitching woes, but a lot could change with 12 games to be played against the two teams chasing them in the East.

In the Hunt

By Arturo Pardavila III (Wikimedia Commons)
By Arturo Pardavila III (Wikimedia Commons)
  • Detroit Tigers: 3/1
  • Kansas City Royals: 7/2
  • Seattle Mariners: 16/3
  • Houston Astros: 6/1

The Royals have used their beloved Rally Mantis to get themselves back in the playoff race, winning 15 of their last 18 games, and now have the luxury of a pretty light schedule to close out the season. Although they still trail both the Tigers and the Indians, the reigning champs are within striking distance.

So You’re Saying There’s a Chance

  • New York Yankees: 10/1
  • Chicago White Sox: 33/1

After waving the white flag on their 2016 season at the trade deadline, the Yankees have now won six of their last seven series on the back of Gary Sanchez and the rest of their youngsters. Now only 3.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot, the Yanks still have six series remaining against the three teams ahead of them in the AL East. There’s a pulse in the Big Apple. It’s faint, but it’s there.

All but Eliminated

  • Oakland Athletics: 450/1
  • LA Angels: 500/1
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 500/1
  • Minnesota Twins: 750/1

This is how bad life is for the Twins right now: they just put up 21 runs in a three-game series and got swept. Better luck next year, fellas.

National League

Current Playoff Teams

By Johnmaxmena2 (Wikimedia Commons)
By Johnmaxmena2 (Wikimedia Commons)
  • Chicago Cubs: 1/50
  • Washington Nationals: 1/18
  • LA Dodgers: 1/8
  • San Francisco Giants: 1/4
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 3/4

Although they have cooled off from their record-breaking pace, the Cubs are still the best team in baseball. Not only do they possess the best team ERA in the majors, but they’ve also scored the third-most runs.

While two divisions in the NL may already be decided, the West is very tight; the Giants sit two games back of the division-leading Dodgers. The two teams still play each other six more times before the seasons ends.

In the Hunt

  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 3/2
  • New York Mets: 3/1
  • Miami Marlins: 7/2

There are a lot of good teams in the NL, and it’s sad to think that either the Pirates or Cardinals are likely to miss out on the playoffs. The two are separated by less than a game right now for the final Wild Card spot.

There is a chance both could be on the outside looking in, too, as the Mets have an incredibly favorable schedule to finish the season: six games against the Braves, six against the Phillies, three against the Reds, and three against the Twins.

So You’re Saying There’s a Chance

  • Colorado Rockies: 25/1
  • Philadelphia Phillies: 35/1

The Rockies have put up the second-most runs in the majors this year, but have received no help from the guys on the mound. In a week, these two teams will probably join their fellow losers in the next section.

All but Eliminated

  • Milwaukee Brewers: 375/1
  • Cincinnati Reds: 400/1
  • San Diego Padres: 450/1
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 500/1
  • Atlanta Braves: 750/1

The Braves are the worst team in baseball, but they’re not going to be the worst team in the history of baseball, at least not at their current pace. (They have the 1988 team and their .338 win-percentage to thank for that.)

Photo credit: bengrey on (Flickr) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (], via Wikimedia Commons.


Perry is a regular contributor to MTS and a die-hard Broncos fan. Yes, he does remember the five Super Bowl losses, but likely remembers all your teams shortcomings, too. Consider yourself warned. Though his love for the Broncos may seem unconditional, Mr. Port never mixes his emotions with gambling.

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