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- What? MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- Where? Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- When? Thursday, August 21, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
The Boston Red Sox will open a four-game set at Yankee Stadium on Thursday night, with Lucas Giolito getting the start. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET as Boston faces off against Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees. The MLB betting lines have New York entering as the favorite at -140, while the Red Sox are priced at +125 to pull off the upset. On the run line, the Yankees are listed at -1.5 with +147 odds, and the total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.
Below are the odds from thee of the best MLB Baseball betting sites.
| MLB |  |  |  |
| Boston Red Sox | +125 | +110 | +124 |
| New York Yankees | -149 | -140 | -147 |
| Boston Red Sox +1.5 | -165 | -175 | -170 |
| New York Yankees -1.5 | +140 | +145 | +147 |
| Over 8.5 | Even | -105 | -104 |
| Under 8.5 | -120 | -120 | -116 |
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been playing strong baseball lately, especially when lined as favorites. Over their last 10 contests, they were favored on the moneyline in eight and came away with six victories. Totals have also leaned toward the higher side, as six of those 10 games finished over the posted number. Against the spread, New York has been equally reliable, covering in seven of its most recent 10 outings.
Aaron Judge continues to be the driving force behind the Yankees’ lineup. Not only does he pace the team with a stellar .330 batting average, but his 40 home runs and 92 RBIs also make him their top power threat. On a league-wide scale, Judge sits at the top in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging, underscoring his dominance at the plate.
Cody Bellinger has also been a consistent contributor, hitting .272 with 20 doubles, five triples, and 24 home runs to go along with 37 walks. His production places him 27th in MLB in home runs and 22nd in RBIs. He enters this matchup swinging a hot bat, riding a three-game hitting streak and batting .333 over his last five games with three homers, a walk, and seven runs driven in.
Trent Grisham has chipped in with solid power numbers as well. He posts a .249 average along with nine doubles, a triple, 23 long balls, and 58 walks. Meanwhile, Anthony Volpe has added 26 doubles, four triples, and 18 home runs despite a modest .213 batting mark, showing he can still provide extra-base pop in the order.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox haven’t had much success recently when entering games as underdogs. In their past 10 contests, they were in that role four times, winning just once. Totals have leaned slightly to the under during that stretch. Boston games have failed to go over the number in four of those 10 matchups. Against the spread, the Red Sox have also struggled, covering only three times in their last 10 opportunities.
At the plate, Jarren Duran leads the way with a team-best .261 batting average. While his power numbers rank well down the league charts—138th in home runs—his run production places him 39th in RBIs across all of MLB. Trevor Story has been the club’s most reliable run producer, driving in 79 runs to lead the team. On the league stage, he sits 53rd in homers and 17th in RBIs, reflecting his consistency as a middle-of-the-order bat.
Boston has also received contributions from younger players like Ceddanne Rafaela, who is batting .252 with 25 doubles, three triples, 14 homers, and 21 walks. Veteran Alex Bregman has added stability as well. He posts a .298 average with 23 doubles, 16 long balls, and 36 walks to round out a lineup that, while inconsistent, has shown flashes of offensive punch.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction and Betting Picks
The Yankees have been the more reliable side lately. They’ve won six of their last eight games as favorites while also covering in seven of their past 10. With Aaron Judge swinging the hottest bat in baseball and Cody Bellinger in strong recent form, New York’s lineup has enough firepower to edge out a close contest. The Red Sox can keep it competitive behind production from Trevor Story and Alex Bregman, but the Yankees’ consistency makes them the pick.
The over looks like the stronger play with both lineups showing signs of life. Judge and Bellinger are producing at elite levels for New York. Boston has Story and Bregman driving in runs and Rafaela contributing extra-base hits. With both teams combining for plenty of power and neither pitching staff immune to giving up runs, the conditions point to a game that clears the 8.5-run total.
Below are the best offshore sportsbooks where you can place your Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees bets.
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