NL Cy Young Odds: Past Winners DeGrom and Scherzer Top the List

  • BetOnline favors Mets ace Jacob deGrom (+300) to win his third-straight NL Cy Young 
  • Max Scherzer (+400) went back-to-back in 2016 and 2017 and is looking to win the award for the fourth time in his career  
  • Jack Flaherty (+600) and Walker Buehler (+700) are both coming off impressive second-year seasons

Jacob deGrom isn’t your grandpa’s Cy Young winner. The Mets right-hander has claimed back-to-back awards while posting starting records of 10-9 and 11-8. (He’s practically trolling Michael Wilbon at this point.)

Can the 31-year-old darling of baseball’s analytics community become only the third pitcher in major-league history to capture three straight Cy Youngs — joining Randy Johnson and Greg Maddux who each won four in a row — or does three-time winner Max Scherzer have one more vintage season left in him?

Let’s look at the odds at BetOnline and analyze all the top contenders in the National League.


Player Odds
Jacob deGrom (Mets) +300
Max Scherzer (Nationals) +400
Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) +600
Walker Buehler (Dodgers) +700
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals) +1400
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) +1800
Noah Syndergaard (Mets) +2000
Yu Darvish (Cubs) +2000
Aaron Nola (Phillies) +2200
Brandon Woodruff (Brewers) +2500
Luis Castillo (Reds) +2500
Mike Soroka (Braves) +2500


Scherzer (+400) and deGrom (+300) have combined to win the past four NL Cy Young awards. After going 6-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 68 strikeouts last June, it was looking like Mad Max would cruise to his fourth-career award until back injuries plagued him the rest of the year.

Meanwhile, deGrom caught fire with a 1.44 ERA over the second half, including a 1.29 ERA in September and 23 consecutive scoreless innings to end the season.

While a lack of run support has clearly hurt the hurler’s career win totals, the Mets are expected to be at least on par with the World Series champion Nationals in 2020; Baseball Prospectus gives New York the second-best playoff odds (75%) in the NL.

Given Scherzer and his wonky back will turn 36 this summer, deGrom seems like the safer bet at this juncture among the favorites.


Jack Flaherty (+600) somehow had an even better second half than deGrom last year, giving up only 10 runs in 99.1 innings  (0.91 ERA) to lead the Cardinals back into the playoffs.

The 24-year-old righthander finished fourth in NL Cy Young voting after leading the NL in WHIP (0.968) and there’s a chance he could top his 2019 numbers (11-8, 2.75 ERA, 231 Ks) if he can get off to a better start than he did last season.

Also entering his third year is Dodgers ace Walker Buehler (+700), who went 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 215 strikeouts in 30 starts last year, recording a 1.042 WHIP. The 25-year-old should be buoyed by an offense that features Mookie Betts and Cody Bellinger, two of the top-four favorites to win National League MVP.

Reds righty Luis Castillo also can’t be counted out after going 15-8 with a 3.40 ERA and 226 strikeouts in 2019. While his numbers are certainly comparable to both Flaherty and Buehler’s, the 27-year-old change-up artist is available at much longer odds (+2500).

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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