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Baseball fans are treated to a second straight weekend featuring a series between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. Boston earned bragging rights after winning two of the three games at Yankee Stadium. Now the Yankees visit Fenway Park for the first time this season to exact revenge. Read on for an expert Red Sox vs Yankees betting prediction.
- New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
- Friday, June 13, 2025
- 7:10 PM EST
- Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- NESN, Fubo, Sling TV, YES Network, MLB.TV
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Odds
The Red Sox are favorites at home against the Yankees with ace Garrett Crochet on the mound. The line on Boston is a juicy (-135), good for an implied probability to win of 57.4%. The Yankees can be bet as underdogs at a price of (+122). The total is set at 8.5.
MLB 
Yankees +122 +122 +122 Red Sox -135 -135 -135 Over 8.5 -110 -110 -110 Under 8.5 -110 -110 -110
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Yankees Back to Winning Ways After Series Loss to Boston
After losing two of three games against Boston in a rare series defeat, the Yankees bounced back. Two wins on the bounce against the Kansas City Royals evened out their losses and put them right back on pace to win the league. What may have been even more important, however, was their opportunity to rest their bullpen. After heavy usage in the high-scoring series against the Red Sox, the Yankees got 13 combined innings out of their starters in the first two games.
As Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr. got rare days off on Thursday, the Yankees anticipate future reinforcements. Giancarlo Stanton’s promising return at the double-A level sparks optimism that the slugger will return at some point in 2025. But his presence would complicate matters in the infield for New York. Simply put, there’s not enough room for another Bronx Bomber. Manager Aaron Boone has discussed moving current designated hitter Ben Rice to catcher, but that would boot Austin Wells from behind the plate. Wells has excelled in his role this season across both hitting and fielding metrics.
If it eases Yankees’ fans’ spirits any, now-Mets right fielder Juan Soto has seen declines in hitting statistics after leaving the Yankees over the offseason. Soto is on pace to hit 31 homers, 10 less than last year, with a batting average just over .250. What won’t make them feel better, however, is the Mets record: At 45-24, they lead the majors.
Top MLB Prospect Roman Anthony Debuts for Red Sox
Roman Anthony is a name many baseball fans may have heard around various circles this season. The now 21-year-old burst onto the minor league scene breaking records, quickly rising to the AAA-level in Worcester. Anthony is a dynamic outfielder with a big bat and plenty of room to grow.
After an injury to Wilyer Abreu left a vacancy in the outfield, Boston decided it was finally time to call up baseball’s latest prodigy. Anthony was called up in the late afternoon, making his way to Boston just in time for the game. The Red Sox lost his debut in extra innings, 10-8, with Anthony going 0-4 with an error.
The next day was more positive. Anthony’s family was shown at Fenway Park watching their son get his first major league hit, a 2-RBI double that proved to be a game-winner. Boston continued to pitch dominantly, earning a 4-3 win on Wednesday to win back-to-back series.
Now at 34-36, the ballclub will hope to build on the excitement of Anthony’s debut as the All-Star break nears. Bregman’s return will be a true indicator of Boston’s playoff prospects: If they get the potential All-Star back with a winning record, Boston could be buyers at the trade deadline.
Unfortunately for fans hoping to see Anthony and Boston’s other young phenom Marcelo Mayer, it is unlikely they will get to start this game. That’s on account of Ryan Yarbrough taking the mound first for New York. Cora has shied away from giving Mayer and Anthony looks at southpaws in the big leagues, citing a huge talent gap in the lefties in the Show compared to their minor league counterparts. That’s not to say the two could feature later in the game against more favorable pitching matchups, however, especially given their fielding utility.
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Prediction
The renowned statistician Bill James developed the formula known as Pythagorean expectation. Based on a team’s runs scored and runs against, it calculates how many games they “should” have won. By three victories, the Red Sox are falling short of their Pythagorean expectations.
BaseRuns, a more recent variation of this, makes use of the odds that runners will score from each base they are left on. According to this formula, the Red Sox should be six victories ahead of their present record at 40-30. All of this suggests that betting markets will probably undervalue the Red Sox as well. Notably, albeit to a lesser extent, the Yankees are also performing poorly.
Until the Red Sox’s record starts to catch up to their underlying statistics, I can’t help but believe that they have betting value. Public bettors will jump at the opportunity to bet the Yankees at plus money, but this is a game they should look elsewhere to place their hard-earned money. Trust in Crochet to protect home field and earn the Sox an early lead in this rivalry series.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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