Toronto Blue Jays Picked To Beat Minnesota Twins In Tuesday’s MLB

  • What? MLB: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Where? Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
  • When? Tuesday, August 26, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET

The Minnesota Twins (59-72) travel north of the border to face the Toronto Blue Jays (77-55) on Tuesday evening, with first pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Minnesota enters the matchup trying to snap a three-game skid, while Toronto looks to keep momentum rolling at home.

The MLB betting lines have the Blue Jays set as -165 favorites on the moneyline, while the underdog Twins come in at +149. Toronto is turning to Chris Bassitt (11-7, 4.18 ERA), who aims to secure his 12th victory of the year. Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober (4-7, 5.05 ERA), hoping he can stabilize a shaky rotation performance of late.

This will be the second meeting of the series after Toronto opened with a convincing 10-4 victory. Max Scherzer earned the win for the Jays by going six innings and allowing four runs on four hits while striking out five. At the plate, Andres Gimenez made a big impact, finishing 2-for-3 with a home run and one RBI. On the other side, Joe Ryan struggled for Minnesota, lasting five innings and surrendering six runs on seven hits despite recording seven strikeouts.

Below are the odds from three of the best MLB Baseball betting sites.

MLB Bovada BetOnline BetUS
Minnesota Twins +141 +149 +146
Toronto Blue Jays -170 -165 -165
Minnesota Twins +1.5 -145 -145 -145
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +125 +125 +125
Over 8.5 -115 -120 -120
Under 8.5 -105 +100 Even

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto has been dependable when favored, winning 37 of the 63 contests in which oddsmakers gave them the edge, good for a 58.7% success rate. When the moneyline has been set at -174 or shorter, the Blue Jays have been even more dominant, coming out on top in 10 of 12 games for an impressive 83.3% winning clip.

Totals have also been a big part of their season. Out of 131 matchups with an over/under posted, Toronto and its opponents have combined to hit the over 71 times, producing a 71-52-8 record in those situations.

Offensively, the Blue Jays rank among the league’s best, averaging 4.9 runs per outing for a total of 650 on the year, placing them fifth overall. Power production has been solid as well, with 156 home runs on the season, putting them 13th in MLB at 1.2 long balls per game.

Their consistency at the plate shows up in batting average, too. Toronto leads all of baseball with a .267 team mark, while also boasting elite plate discipline. The club strikes out only 6.7 times per game—the lowest rate of any lineup in the majors.

On the mound, Toronto’s pitchers average nine strikeouts per nine innings, ranking fourth in the league. However, the staff ERA sits at 4.20, which positions them 20th among all MLB teams, showing that run prevention has been a weaker spot compared to their offensive output.

Minnesota Twins

Minnesota has struggled to find success when cast as the underdog this year. Out of 51 games in that role, the Twins have managed to win just 19, a 37.3% rate. When the moneyline has been set at +145 or longer, their results have been even tougher, with only three victories in 11 tries, translating to 27.3%. Totals have been more favorable, though—Minnesota games have gone over the posted number 57 times in 130 outings.

At the plate, the Twins sit in the bottom tier of MLB lineups. They’ve produced 541 runs, averaging 4.1 per game, which ranks 24th in the majors. Their power output has been more respectable, with 152 home runs to place 14th overall. Despite that, a team batting average of .237 also leaves them at 24th in MLB, underscoring the inconsistency of their offense.

Strikeouts have been a recurring issue for the lineup, with an average of 8.3 punchouts per contest, slotting them in the middle of the pack at 15th. On the flip side, their pitching staff is capable of missing bats, ranking 11th in baseball with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. However, run prevention remains an issue, as their team ERA of 4.41 is among the weaker marks in the league, sitting 23rd overall.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Key Players

Chris Bassitt (11-7) will make his 27th appearance of the year for Toronto, entering the game with a 4.18 ERA across 144 1/3 innings and 142 strikeouts to his name. At the plate, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to anchor the lineup, tallying 140 hits with a strong .395 on-base percentage and a .495 slugging rate. Bo Bichette has been another steady contributor, batting .304 while driving in 84 runs and belting 16 home runs. Power has also come from George Springer, who paces the team with 22 long balls and a .522 slugging percentage. Ernie Clement has been a reliable bat as well, recording 124 hits on the season with a .308 OBP and a .395 slugging mark.

Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober (4-7), who is set for his 22nd start of the campaign. The Twins’ offense is highlighted by Byron Buxton, who tops the team in homers (25), RBI (62), and batting average (.268). Trevor Larnach has added 19 doubles, a triple, 16 homers, and 44 walks while hitting .243. Rookie Brooks Lee has chipped in with a .246 average alongside 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs, and 25 walks. Catcher Ryan Jeffers has also provided steady production, hitting .258 with 23 doubles, nine homers, and 43 walks on the year.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction And Betting Picks

Toronto looks well-positioned to take control of this matchup thanks to both pitching and offensive advantages. Chris Bassitt has been steady throughout the year, giving the Blue Jays a reliable arm on the mound, while their lineup has been one of the most consistent in the majors. With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. setting the tone, Bo Bichette driving in runs at a high rate, and George Springer supplying the power, Toronto’s bats have the depth to pressure Bailey Ober, who enters with a 5.05 ERA. Add in home-field advantage and the fact that Minnesota has struggled as a heavy underdog, and the Blue Jays have the upper hand.

Toronto Blue JaysTo Beat Minnesota Twins
★★★★★
-165
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The conditions also favor a high-scoring affair. Toronto leads MLB in batting average and consistently puts the ball in play, while Minnesota has shown some power of its own with Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach in the lineup. Neither pitching staff has been airtight this season—the Twins carry a 4.41 ERA and the Blue Jays sit at 4.20—making it likely that both sides can push runs across. Given the way Toronto’s offense is rolling and the Twins’ ability to chip in with some power, the over 8.5 runs is a strong play.

Over 8.5Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
★★★★★
-115
Bet now

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Henry Shepherd

Henry’s career kicked off in the betting industry before he transitioned into the world of writing. Specializing in soccer, golf, and darts, he also covers an extensive range of sports on a global scale. With a BA Honors degree in Business and Management, Henry rose through the ranks at William Hill in England. In addition to his work as a sports writer, Hen...

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