Updated National League Divisional Odds After Trade Deadline

  • Get updated Division-winner odds for all 15 National League clubs following the MLB trade deadline
  • The Braves (-200), Cubs (-300) and Dodgers (-1100) are the favorites to win their respective divisions
  • The Phillies (+500) only sit 3.0 games back in the NL East and brought in much-needed bullpen help

After breaking down the post-deadline divisional odds in the American League, today we set our sights on the senior circuit to see which clubs made the moves required to win their division.

While the races in the National League aren’t as tight as in the AL, there are some fun possibilities to explore. Let’s look at the updated odds in the NL East, NL Central and NL West.

ODDS TO WIN NL EAST

Teams Odds at Betway
Atlanta Braves -200
Philadelphia Phillies +500
Miami Marlins +800
New York Mets +800
Washington Nationals +1600

PHILLIES CATCH ATLANTA (+500)

Considering the Atlanta (-200) rotation posted a 5.40 ERA in August (the sixth-worst mark in the majors), it was bit of a surprise to see the always-crafty Alex Anthopoulos not swing a deal for a starting pitcher. 

Both the Marlins (+800) and Phillies (+500) sit only 3.0 games back in the NL East, and Philadelphia is heating up with seven wins in their past eight games.

After acquiring three relievers (David Phelps, Brandon Workman and Heath Hembree) in the past few weeks, Philly could make a run at the division if Rhys Hoskins stays hot at the plate; he has five homers in his past seven games. The Phillies are a strong bet at +500.

ODDS TO WIN NL CENTRAL

Teams Odds at Betway
Chicago Cubs -300
St. Louis Cardinals +500
Milwaukee Brewers +850
Cincinnati Reds +1200
Pittsburgh Pirates +15000

CUBS CLINCH CENTRAL (-300)

After starting the season a ridiculous 13-3, Chicago (-300) has gone 8-11 since, opening the door for St. Louis.

However, the Cardinals (+500) have played eight fewer contests than the Cubs after a COVID-19 outbreak caused them to miss two weeks of games. They stood pat at the deadline, but Paul DeJong and Yadier Molina should soon return from the injured list. Of greater concern is that St. Louis has 31 games left to play this September, including seven doubleheaders.

Meanwhile, the Reds (+1200) acquired outfielder Brian Goodwin and reliever Archie Bradley at the deadline, but they’re likely too far back (6.5 games) to catch the Cubbies. While we wouldn’t pay up at -300, Chicago should hold on in the Central.

ODDS TO WIN NL WEST

Teams Odds at Betway
Los Angeles Dodgers -1100
San Diego Padres +700
Colorado Rockies +3300
San Francisco Giants +5000
Arizona Diamondbacks +7500

THE DODGERS DOMINATE (-1100)

The World Series favorites in Los Angeles didn’t need to make any moves as they own the best ERA in the majors and sit second in runs scored behind the Padres (+700), but with seven straight postseason appearances without a title, one would anticipate a trade or two. 

Given the Dodgers (-1100) have the best record in the majors at 27-10, you would also expect their lead in the NL West to be even greater than 5.0 games, but San Diego and young slugger Fernando Tatis Jr. have been the  surprise story of the season.

The Padres swung the biggest deadline deal, bringing in Indians ace Mike Clevinger, who owns a 2.92 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 57 starts over the last three seasons.

But despite the trade, it’s safe to say San Diego won’t sneak up on the Dodgers anytime soon.

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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