Most Pitcher Wins Odds: Gerrit Cole Favored To Lead MLB in 2021

  • BetUS favors Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (+1000) to have the Most Wins in the majors in 2021
  • Former Cy Young winners Jacob deGrom (+1100) and Trevor Bauer (+1200) should enjoy more run support this season
  • Brewers ace Brandon Woodruff (+3000) could be poised for a breakout campaign

‘Wins’ has become a dirty word when discussing what pitcher should win the Cy Young Award each season, but underlying analytics won’t help you cash out this particular bet.

With Opening Day just hours away, let’s see who oddsmakers favor to lead Major League Baseball in wins in 2021 and examine which hurlers have the best shot of racking up victories. You should also check out our MLB 2021 betting guide for further wagering tips and advice.

Most MLB Pitcher Wins Odds

BetUS
Gerrit Cole+1000
Jacob DeGrom+1100
Trevor Bauer+1200
Shane Bieber+1500
Lucas Giolito+1500
Walker Buehler+1800
Yu Darvish+1800
Max Scherzer+1800
Aaron Nola+1800
Luis Castillo+1800
Jack Flaherty+2000
Blake Snell+2000
Clayton Kershaw+2000
Dinelson Lamet+2200
Max Fried+2200

Gerrit Cole is a slight favorite over deGrom

Gerrit Cole (+1000) once went unbeaten in 28 starts over a year span (May 27, 2019, to Aug. 19, 2020), so the man knows how to win baseball games.

However, while the 30-year-old pitched impressively, any nerd will tell you that run support is critical to a starter’s W-L record. For instance, two-time Cy Young winner Jacob DeGrom (+1100) actually posted a better ERA (1.91 vs 1.97) than Cole over that same time frame, yet his record was 10-3 while Cole’s was 20-0.

After spending big in free agency, the Mets’ wins total of 90 compares favorably with the Yankees’ 96 total at BetUS, so deGrom should enjoy better run support and compete with Cole for the most wins in baseball.

Oddsmakers also expect reigning NL Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer (+1200) to be in the mix after his move from the Cincinnati Reds, who finished just above .500 (31-29) last year, to the World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers, who led the majors with 43 wins in 2020.

Gerrit Coleto record most Wins
+1000
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Jacob deGromto record most Wins
+1100
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Best Longshot Bets

Bauer’s teammate Walker Buehler (+1800) could be the better value on the Dodgers – the 26-year-old stud is just a season removed from a 14-4 W-L record. The Padres have the second-highest win total (94.5) in baseball, making both Yu Darvish (+1800) and Blake Snell (+2000) excellent plays.

Atlanta’s Max Fried (+2200) maintained a perfect 7-0 record last season and while negative regression is probably coming, the Braves are once again expected to be one of the best team’s in the National League with 91.5 wins total.

The Tampa Rays are expected to take a step back this season, but betting on 27-year-old Tyler Glasnow at +3000 could be a wise investment if the big righthander can stay healthy.

Brandon Woodruff (+3000) went 3-5 for the Brewers in the COVID-shortened 2020 campaign, but his underlying numbers were actually better than his 2019 season when he went 11-3. The 28-year-old breakout candidate tied for the NL lead with 13 starts last year, compiling a 3.05 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 73 2/3 innings.

Max Friedto record most Wins
+2200
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Steve Dominey

Steve has almost 15 years of experience in marketing, PR and sports television. After acquiring a Journalism degree from Carleton University, he assembled highlight packs for Canada's most-watched sports network (TSN) before transitioning to a career in communications. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.