2025 Austrian MotoGP Picks: Can Marc Márquez win his first race at Red Bull Ring?

  • What: Austrian Grand Prix
  • Date: Friday, August 15-17, 2025
  • Location: Red Bull Ring
  • Where: Spielberg, Austria

MotoGP roars into its critical second half. The action resumes this weekend with the Austrian Grand Prix at the Red Bull Ring (August 15-17), launching a relentless sprint to the finish.

Over the next 14 weeks, the championship battles through 10 relentless rounds, all racing toward the decisive Grand Prix of Valencia (November 14-16).

Six races across MotoGP’s European heartland and four demanding flyaway rounds stand between today and glory. The Australian Grand Prix at Phillip Island (October 17-19) looms as a key showdown.

Marc Márquez commands a 120-point lead after 12 of 22 rounds, yet the season’s drama is far from settled.

Tension spikes as the series heads to Marquez’s least conquered track—Austria. His winless streak here after eight attempts gives rivals a rare and urgent chance this weekend.

Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the 2025 Austrian GP, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our betting picks for the 2025 MotoGP Championship.

2025 Austrian MotoGP Odds

To Win 2025 Austrian Moto GPBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBetUS Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook Review
Marc Marquez-350-350-350
Francesco Bagnaia+600+700+700
Alex Marquez+700+550+550
Jorge Martin+1600+1600+1600
Marco Bezzecchi+1000+1000+1400
Pedro Acosta+2500+2500+2500
Fabio Quartararo+2500+2500+4000
Enea Bastianini+2500+2500+3300
Fabio Di Giannantonio+2000+2000+2000
Franco Morbidelli+2200+2200+6600
Brad Binder+6600+6600+6600
Maverick Vinales+2800+2800+2800
Johann Zarco+4000+4000+20000
Fermin Aldeguer+3300+3300+8000
Joan Mir+50000+50000+50000
Jack Miller+30000+30000+30000
Raul Fernandez+10000+10000+30000
Alex Rins+15000+15000+100000
Daniel Pedrosa+15000+15000+25000
Ai Ogura+25000+25000+75000
Luca Marini+25000+25000+100000
Miguel Oliveira+25000+25000+75000
Somkiat Chantra+50000+50000+200000
Aleix Espargaro+100000+100000+300000
Takaaki Nakagami+100000+100000+250000
Tetsuma Nagashima+100000+100000+250000
Lorenzo Savadori+100000+100000+250000
Augusto Fernandez+100000+100000+250000
Michele Pirro+100000+100000+250000

Marc Márquez

In three previous races, Marc Márquez narrowly missed out on victory at the Red Bull Ring, finishing behind Andrea Dovizioso in 2017 and 2019, and Jorge Lorenzo in 2018.

The combined margin across those three races was just 0.519 seconds—showing just how close he came.

As Ducati improved, and after Márquez’s arm injury in 2020 sidelined him for much of four seasons while Honda’s performance declined, the racing at this track has become less competitive, with only poor weather providing excitement.

So, who could win at the Red Bull Ring—and why might it finally be Marc Márquez’s turn?

All signs point to him as a top contender. He’s in excellent form, leading the championship, and now rides a highly competitive Ducati—arguably the best bike he’s ever had, aside from perhaps the 2013 Honda RC213V.

In the past, he came close to beating the Ducatis here on less competitive machinery, but this year he has the tools and the motivation, especially since he’s never won at this circuit. Disrupting his momentum will be a tall order for the rest of the field.

Normally, his brother Alex Márquez would be another strong pick, given his impressive season with Gresini Ducati.

However, a Long Lap penalty—stemming from his crash at Brno—could hamper his chances.

For Alex, the focus in Austria will likely be about maximizing points in the Saturday sprint and minimizing losses on Sunday.

I would pass on him at this price.

Marc MárquezTO WIN 2025 Austrian MotoGP
★★★★★
-350
Bet now

Francesco Bagnaia

Last year’s race saw Pecco Bagnaia lead from start to finish. Riding at a high level on a circuit he favors—and where he had already won in 2022—Bagnaia’s consistent performance resulted in limited suspense, which was less engaging for some fans.

This lack of drama is becoming a challenge for race promoters, especially with the 2025 MotoGP calendar.

The Austrian Grand Prix typically draws a large crowd from Central, Eastern, and Southern Europe. It serves as the closest round for passionate fans from regions like the Balkans, Hungary, Bulgaria, Romania, and Greece.

However, this year marks the return of Brno and the debut of Hungary’s Balaton Park circuit, both likely to appeal to the same fan base. These venues offer more affordable and conveniently located accommodations, making them attractive alternatives.

Positioned in the second half of a mid-season stretch that includes Sachsenring, Brno, Spielberg, and Balaton Park, Austria now faces increased competition for spectators. Without a change in the current level of racing excitement, fans have no incentive to consider other events instead.

I like Bagnaia’s chances here, especially at a favorable number like +700 at Bovada.

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2025 Austrian MotoGP
★★★★★
+700
Bet now

Jack Miller

Marc Marquez’s championship campaign will develop over time, but Jack Miller’s future could be settled soon.

Miller, 30, is Yamaha’s only rider without a 2026 contract, though Yamaha has yet to announce its final rider for next season.

Yamaha’s Paolo Pavesio said a choice between Miller and his Pramac teammate Miguel Oliveira would come before the mid-season break, but nothing is confirmed.

Miller has consistently been Yamaha’s second-best rider in 2025 and recently finished second at the prestigious Suzuka 8-Hour endurance race.

Letting Miller go for Oliveira would seem surprising, since Oliveira has underperformed this season despite having a 2026 deal with a team option.

With Alex Rins still struggling alongside 2021 world champion Fabio Quartararo on the factory team, speculation is growing that Miller could join Quartararo next year.

Moto2 standout Diogo Moreira is rumored to be joining Pramac Yamaha, pairing with World Superbikes star Toprak Razgatlioglu for an all-rookie lineup before MotoGP regulations change.

This game of musical chairs among Miller, Rins, Oliveira, Moreira, Yamaha, and fans needs to be resolved soon. Miller may well find himself with a seat once the dust settles.

Miller is truly a longshot at +3000 odds, but stranger things have happened as he tries to prove himself.

Jack MillerTO WIN 2025 Austrian MotoGP
★★★★★
+3000
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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