2025 Valencia Grand Prix Picks: Will Alex Márquez finish the season strong?

  • What: 2025 Valencia Grand Prix
  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Location: Circuit Ricardo Tormo
  • Where: Cheste, Spain

The MotoGP season reaches its thrilling conclusion this weekend at the Circuit Ricardo Tormo in Valencia, with the race taking place from November 14th to 16th. As the final race of the season, there’s always a festive atmosphere at this venue, with its stadium-style grandstands allowing spectators a complete view of the circuit from any seat.

However, this year’s finale lacks the dramatic championship tension of previous seasons, as the title has already been decided, with Marc Márquez crowned champion. Unfortunately, Márquez will not participate in the final race as he continues to recover from a broken right collarbone.

The main race is scheduled for Sunday, November 16th, at 2:00 p.m. local time, spanning 27 laps. The Sprint race will take place on Saturday, running 13 laps. With six different riders winning the last seven Grands Prix, the Valencia finale promises unpredictable racing and a fitting celebration to close out the 2025 season.

Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the 2025 Valencia GP, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our betting picks for the 2025 MotoGP Championship.

2025 Valencia MotoGP Odds

To Win 2025 Valencia Moto GPBetOnline Sportsbook & Casino Review 2025BetUS Sportsbook Review 2025Bovada Sportsbook Review 2025
Alex Marquez+175+175+175
Marco Bezzecchi+175+175+175
Pedro Acosta+400+400+400
Francesco Bagnaia+600+600+600
Fermin Aldeguer+1200+1200+1200
Fabio Di Giannantonio+2800+2800+2800
Joan Mir+3300+3300+3300
Jorge Martin+3300+3300+3300
Johann Zarco+4000+4000+4000
Franco Morbidelli+5000+5000+5000
Luca Marini+6600+6600+6600
Raul Fernandez+6600+6600+6600
Nicola Bulega+8000+8000+8000
Enea Bastianini+8000+8000+8000
Maverick Vinales+8000+8000+8000

Alex Marquez

Alex Marquez is counted among the top favorites for Valencia MotoGP, arriving fresh off his recent victory that helped secure his remarkable runner-up position in the championship. The Gresini rider welcomes the pressure of his favorite status, stating he’s eager to be viewed as a title contender for 2026 based on this season’s performance.

His confidence stems from his best-ever MotoGP season, where he served as his brother Marc’s primary title rival. At Valencia in 2023, he achieved fourth and sixth-place finishes, demonstrating his familiarity with the circuit. The Spanish home advantage could prove crucial, as Spanish riders have won 13 MotoGP races at the Valencia circuit.

With Marc absent and Alex motivated to be the reference point rather than following his brother’s, he has the machinery and momentum to claim his second victory in three races. His priority, however, remains finishing strong to carry positive momentum into Tuesday’s post-race test, where he’ll debut his new factory-specification Ducati GP26 for the first time.

I would pass on Marquez at this track, I think Bezzecchi is the better bet here.

Alex MarquezTO WIN 2025 Valencia Grand Prix
★★★★★
+175
Bet now

Marco Bezzecchi

Marco Bezzecchi arrives in Valencia full of confidence after dominating the Portimão round with pole position, a sprint podium, and victory in the main race. The Aprilia rider’s recent form has been exceptional, and he now hopes to secure third place in the MotoGP riders’ standings.

Bezzecchi is in high spirits and determined to finish the year on a high note in MotoGP, particularly as he holds a 35-point advantage over Francesco Bagnaia in the battle for third. His prospects look strong, as if Bezzecchi finishes sixth or better in the sprint race, Bagnaia’s chances of overtaking him will be eliminated.

While his best finish in Valencia has been 11th place in 2022, his current momentum tells a different story. Bezzecchi acknowledged that Marc Márquez’s absence removes one very strong rival from the MotoGP race, potentially opening the door for another victory.

The Italian hopes to complete his first career Sprint and GP double at Valencia MotoGP, which would send a powerful message heading into 2026 when he dreams of challenging for the championship with Aprilia’s continuously improving machinery.

I love Bezzecchi’s chances here, I would bet on him to win this outright.

Marco BezzecchiTO WIN 2025 Valencia Grand Prix
★★★★★
+175
Bet now

Pedro Acosta

Pedro Acosta would not be a surprise first-time winner, with the young Spaniard being a fitting addition to the honor roll after a string of brave, battling performances on a KTM that’s been difficult to handle all year.

KTM is still relying on Pedro Acosta, the only rider from the Mattighofen factory to have consistently been at the front. Acosta arrives in Valencia fifth in the championship standings, though his hopes of finishing third in the standings have officially ended.  

Former MotoGP star Dani Pedrosa highlighted Acosta’s impressive third-place podium finish at Portimão AutoHebdo and has even made a playful wager that he’ll dye his hair orange if Acosta wins in Valencia. Acosta is among the five riders on the grid who could claim their first MotoGP victory this weekend.

Despite the challenges with the KTM machinery this season, the Spanish rider’s raw talent and determination make him a genuine contender on home soil, where Spanish riders have historically dominated the Valencia circuit.

I would pass on Acosta at this track at this price.

Pedro AcostaTO WIN 2025 Valencia Grand Prix
★★★★★
+400
Bet now

Francesco Bagnaia

Francesco Bagnaia emerges as an intriguing dark horse despite a nightmare 2025 campaign that has seen him struggle to accept the reality of finishing fourth with 288 points in MotoGP. The two-time champion has admitted he never adapted to the Ducati GP25, acknowledging that while the bike has great potential, as Marc Márquez demonstrated, it has been challenging for him personally in MotoGP.

Bagnaia has achieved two podium finishes at Valencia in his MotoGP career, demonstrating his ability to extract pace from the circuit. He needs to win both the sprint race and main race to have any mathematical chance of catching Bezzecchi for third place, but only if Bezzecchi scores no points in either session.

While the odds seem long, Bagnaia has stated his goal for Valencia is to return to competitiveness and use the race weekend and to rediscover his form.

His methodical racing approach and smooth riding style remain formidable assets, and with nothing to lose, the Italian might surprise with a farewell flourish to a forgettable season.

Bagnaia is worth a flier at +600 odds.

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2025 Valencia Grand Prix
★★★★★
+600
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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