In a matter of weeks, the MotoGP world title race has gone from a foregone conclusion to a three-way battle. The upcoming Japan Grand Prix will go a long way in determining the final outcome. Here’s how you should bet the Japan GP to make a big profit.
The Japan competition goes down Sunday, September 25 and it’s expected to be uber close. Just take a look at the current race odds, as listed by top MotoGP betting sites:
2022 Japan GP Preview
We haven’t had this much of a title nail-biter in MotoGP since 2017. Every season since then has been dominated by the eventual champion, which includes Marc Marquez, Joan Mir, and Fabio Quartararo. With five races to go, the sense is 2022 will go down to the absolute wire, which makes Japan so critical. Let’s preview the Japan GP and what’s at stake.
Going into the weekend, three riders – Quartararo, Francesco Bagnaia, and Aleix Espargaro – are separated by 17 points atop the standings. The reigning champion Quartararo is still tops standing-wise but heads into Japan on a cold streak. He DNF last weekend in Aragon and is winless since mid-June in Germany.
Only ten points behind in second is Bagnaia. He strung together four wins straight and narrowly missed fifth in Aragon, as he placed second overall in a photo finish. All — and we mean all — the momentum is on the Italian’s side. So much momentum that Bagnaia has become the betting favorite to win the whole championship across the major online sportsbooks. You see that favoritism in the Japan odds as he’s the runaway to win here as well.
Most of the attention — from fans and bettors alike — is on the first and second-place riders. But there’s a third in the mix that flies under the radar and that’s Espargaro, who has been the most consistent driver in the entire grid (the only rider that’s yet to earn a DNF). Espargaro is at 194 points currently, which is seven shy of Bagnaia and 17 behind Quartararo. Perhaps the Spaniard is going unnoticed because he has just one outright win this season.
The Mobility Resort Motegi race track in central Japan will hold the event. It’s been off of the schedule since 2019 due to the global pandemic. Marquez was that year’s winner, which brought his career victories to 5 at the track. That’s an all-time record there. The famed Spaniard, depending on your perspective, started the Aragon crash (two of ’em, not just one) that ended Quartararo and Takaaki Nakagami’s race.
Nakagami’s right hand was injured in the crash but is expected to be on the grid in Japan. Born in Chiba, Japan, this will be a home race for Nakagami in front of a partisan crowd. It’s a nice boost but we wouldn’t consider Nakagami as a dark horse bet. He’s 16th in the standings right now and hasn’t been on the podium once this year. Save your money and put it on the riders we’re about to call out in the next section.
Best Bets To Win 2022 Japan GP
Given how often the top riders are prone to DNFs in this sport, it would be wise of you to make at least two different bets on who wins the 2022 Japan Grand Prix. That’s what we’re doing and here are the two picks we’re most confident in backing right now:
If you’re not convinced Bagnaia is for real, then we don’t know what to tell you. Here’s a rider that in the previous 10 races has won six times straight and finished runner-up another time. There’s no driver that’s even close to his form over the past three months. Until we see a fall-off in performance, we’ll continue to bet Bagnaia the rest of the season, no matter the track.
If Bagnaia wins — which is our expectation, he could surpass Quartararo in the standings if the latter finishes fourth or worst. Given how cold Quartararo is as of late, that’s a very real possibility. Take Bagnaia here and don’t think twice about it.
It was Bastianini who took the photo-finish at Aragon. In the last lap, he overtook Bagnaia for first. The competition before that in San Marino was also tightly contested between the two. The results were flipped vice-versa that day with Bagnaia getting the slightest of victories. The point is, the only driver that appears to be at the same level as Bagnaia right now is Bastianini, hence why we’re betting with him. Let the best Ducati driver win out is our betting philosophy here!
How To Bet On MotoGP Races?
As we mentioned earlier, the 2022 MotoGP season is down to five races. That means you have just five more opportunities to bet on MotoGP races this season. To take advantage of what’s left in this thrilling campaign, hit one of the online bookmakers featured in the underneath table.
These bookies not only have a bevy of MotoGP bets, but they’re also offering big-money sign-up bonuses to new players. With these deals — that can pay an upward of $2500 in free play at some sites — you could bet MotoGP on their dime. Free bets is never a wrong way to go so to get started, just smash one of the “play now” buttons below.