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- What: Japanese Grand Prix
- Date: Friday, September 26-28, 2025
- Location: Mobility Resort Motegi
- Where: Motegi, Japan
MotoGP’s 2025 Japanese round at Mobility Resort Motegi, set for September 26-28, is a season-defining event.
Marc Marquez holds a commanding 182-point lead over his younger brother Alex—the only other rider with a mathematical chance at the title—making this a pivotal championship weekend.
This is Marc Marquez’s first shot at securing the World Championship, and the stakes soar at Honda’s home race. Honda will make a bold statement, sending Takaaki Nakagami roaring back as a wildcard with the Honda HRC Test Team for his fourth MotoGP appearance this year.
Momentum is building for the Japanese manufacturers, with both Yamaha and Honda surging forward in 2025 after recent struggles.
Honda created Motegi in 1997 as a world-class test ground, featuring a 2.9-mile international-standard road course in the picturesque northern Kanto district.
As the first flyaway race following the European rounds, the Motul Grand Prix of Japan presents a new challenge and potential turning point for the season.
The Japanese Grand Prix is known for its dramatic battles, and with the championship on the line, this weekend could deliver another unforgettable MotoGP moment. Honda’s home advantage, the resurgence of Japanese manufacturers, and the stakes for Marquez make this a must-watch event.
Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the 2025 Japanese GP, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our betting picks for the 2025 MotoGP Championship.
2025 Japanese MotoGP Odds
| To Win 2025 Japanese Moto GP |  |  |  |
| Marc Marquez | -250 | -225 | -225 |
| Alex Marquez | +400 | +400 | +400 |
| Francesco Bagnaia | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Marco Bezzecchi | +1100 | +1100 | +1100 |
| Enea Bastianini | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Fabio Quartararo | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Pedro Acosta | +2200 | +2200 | +2200 |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | +2800 | +2800 | +2800 |
| Franco Morbidelli | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Brad Binder | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
| Fermin Aldeguer | +6000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Johann Zarco | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Jorge Martin | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Raul Fernandez | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Joan Mir | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Maverick Vinales | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Luca Marini | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Jack Miller | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
| Ai Ogura | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
| Alex Rins | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
| Miguel Oliveira | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
| Lorenzo Savadori | +100000 | +100000 | +100000 |
Marc Marquez
Marc Marquez enters Motegi as the overwhelming favorite. The odds are heavily stacked in his favor to seal his ninth world title at the MotoGP Grand Prix of Japan at Mobility Resort Motegi. Perhaps the only obstacle is whether he can control his nerves after five seasons without a championship.
Same helmet design as last year for Marc Marquez in Motegi 🇯🇵 (few sponsor changes)#MotoGP #JapaneseGP pic.twitter.com/NmXdeSwlvI
— Crash MotoGP (@crash_motogp) September 25, 2025
With such a commanding points lead and multiple scenarios for clinching the title, Marquez remains the clear favorite. His experience and proven ability under pressure stand out. Marquez’s return to championship-winning form aboard the Ducati has been remarkable. Motegi could provide the perfect stage for his coronation.
Alex Marquez
Alex Marquez faces an almost impossible task. He is the only rider mathematically capable of preventing his brother from celebrating his title.
Despite being 182 points behind with limited rounds remaining, the younger Marquez has shown resilience throughout the season. He won’t surrender easily. His familiarity with the Motegi circuit and determination to delay Marc’s championship could make him a spoiler.
Alex Marquez’s skid lid for this weekend 🔥 #MotoGP pic.twitter.com/VGX2OkQIXR
— Everything Moto Racing (@everythingmrace) September 25, 2025
The mathematics are overwhelmingly against him. Still, Alex’s presence adds a touch of family drama to the weekend. He’ll be motivated to perform at his highest level on Honda’s home turf, potentially setting up emotional scenes regardless of the championship outcome.
Francesco Bagnaia
Francesco Bagnaia heads to Motegi determined to turn his season around after enduring ten races without a podium finish.
The two-time world champion has admitted to “throwing away” his 2025 campaign. However, encouraging signs emerged as he topped Friday’s opening practice session at Motegi.
Ducati plans to implement solutions from its Misano test in the hope of helping Bagnaia regain his competitiveness. He is reportedly running a 2024-spec fork and swingarm on his GP25 as he searches for answers.
Francesco Bagnaia is the fastest at the FP1 session in Motegi. #JapaneseGP🇯🇵 pic.twitter.com/HLanpWZCvL
— MotoGP™ Guru (@MotoGPGuru) September 26, 2025
Bagnaia needs to recapture his championship form to finish the year strong and rebuild his confidence heading into 2026.
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