NASCAR Cup Series Playoff Predictions

It’s officially playoff time in NASCAR betting after the regular season concluded this past weekend. We have a complete breakdown of what lays ahead in the postseason, along with NASCAR Cup Series playoff predictions! Give this a full read before betting on the championship hunt.

At the moment, online sportsbooks don’t have betting odds available for who will win the 2021 Cup Series. However, we expect that to change in the coming days. Nonetheless, expect Kyle Larson to be the betting favorite after he won the regular-season championship. On the year, Larson has five wins, 14 top-5 finishes, and 18 top-10’s.

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How NASCAR Playoffs Work

First, it’s worth explaining how the NASCAR playoff system works since it’s a little different than traditional sports. Only 16 drivers are among the playoff field based on regular-season wins and the final point tally. All the usual big names are in the mix again this year — the aforementioned Larson (2,052 points), Martin Truex Jr. (2024 points), Ryan Blaney (2024 points, as well), Kyle Busch (2022 points), defending champion Chase Elliott (2021 points), etc.

You might be wondering what those points even mean. In the playoffs, every driver had their point tally reset to 2,000. Then if they earned any playoff points during the regular season, those were added after the fact, which set up the top-five pecking order we listed above.

The postseason is broken into four stages — round of 16 (three races), round of 12 (three more races), round of 8 (another three races), and the championship 4 (one winner-take-all competition). A win in one of the playoff races automatically qualifies a driver into the next round. At the conclusion of each stage, the bottom-four drivers based on points are eliminated from the field.

That’s the super-simplified version of the NASCAR playoffs, but there are more nuances tucked in there (e.g. point resets in later stages, too). Regardless, this postseason format rewards clutch wins more than anything else, which should have an influence on your Cup Series championship pick.

NASCAR Playoffs Betting Pick

Given the unpredictable nature of motor racing, we’re splitting our betting picks into two. Ya know, just in case of bad luck striking and ruining our futures bet. With that said, here are the two drivers we’re backing:

Kyle Larson

Yeah, don’t overthink this selection. From start-to-finish, no driver on the circuit has put together a better season than Larson. It would be smart of you to ride that momentum through the playoffs.

Plus, we put value in Larson’s “always in the hunt” ways. His five wins were the most in the field and his 14 top-5 finishes are nothing to overlook either. You can almost count on Larson to be in the thick of races, which means something in the postseason where every single point matters.

Kyle Larsonto win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series
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TBD
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Chase Elliott

We’re big believers in the saying, “to be the man, you got to beat the man.” Well, Elliott is still the man until officially beaten. And as we saw a year ago, Elliott seems to have an extra gear when the pressure is on.

In the 2020 playoffs, Elliott took three different first-place finishes to put him over the top. The clutch performance came despite only two regular-season wins. Could we see deja vu this time around? Heck, we’re betting we just might!

Chase Elliottto win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series
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TBD
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How To Watch NASCAR Playoffs

From September 5 to November 7, there’s a NASCAR playoff race every single Sunday. That’s 10 Sundays that should be appointment viewing for bettors and lovers of the sport.

Each postseason race airs either on NBC or its NBC Sports Network (no more FOX or FS1 broadcasts in the playoffs). Start times vary race to race, but it’s usually between 2:00 pm or 7:30 pm EST.

We aren’t going to list every remaining race, but here are a few that you should probably circle on your calendar:

  • September 5 — CookOut Southern 500 in Darlington (the playoff opener)
  • September 26 — South Point 500 in Las Vegas (Round of 12 opener)
  • October 17 — Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 in Texas (Round of 8 opener)
  • November 7 — Season Finale 500 in Phoenix (the finale)

How To Bet NASCAR Playoffs

NASCAR playoffs means a whole lot of betting opportunities. Obviously, there’s the futures bet which we just covered, however, the fun is betting week-to-week winners, too. Props are also available for these weekly events, which only adds to the intrigue.

To find all NASCAR playoff betting odds in one spot, visit one of the sportsbooks we’ve listed underneath.
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Without a doubt, the most lucrative bonus is the sign-up deal. It’s available only to bettors that’ve never wagered on the site before. When redeemed, the bonus could be worth hundreds to thousands of dollars in free play! The table underneath has details on what sign-up bonuses are currently available for the taking.

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Tony Castle

Tony Castle is one of the best out there, an excellent writer with a true love for sports. He learned his craft at University study English writing, before moving into his current role as an independent sports writer and journalist.