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- What: NBA Regular Season Game
- When: March 21, 2025
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat
- Time: 5:00 p.m. EST
- Where: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
It’s an exciting interconference matchup in Florida as the Houston Rockets take on the Miami Heat in South Beach this Friday night.
Houston won 116-108 on the road against Orlando in their last game on Wednesday, successfully covering the spread as a 2.5-point favorite.
Meanwhile, Miami suffered a narrow defeat, falling 116-113 at home to Detroit in their previous outing. However, Miami managed to cover the spread as a 4.5-point underdog.
Historically, the Heat lead the regular season series with a 42-33 record, having triumphed in the last nine encounters, including a 104-100 win on the road during their first matchup of the season on December 29, 2024.
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Houston extended its winning streak to eight games with a road victory over Orlando on Wednesday night, improving its record to 45-25.
It holds a two-game lead over Memphis for first in the Southwest Division and is second in the Western Conference, 5.5 games ahead of the Clippers.
Game Preview (Rockets vs. Heat)
The Rockets rank 16th in the league with 113.7 points per game, first in rebounding with 48.7 boards per game, and are 28th in assists with 23. Alperen Sengun contributes 19.2 points and 10.5 rebounds per game.
| Spread |  |  |  |
| Houston Rockets -5.5 Points | -110 | -110 | -105 |
| Miami Heat +5.5 Points | -110 | -110 | -115 |
Key secondary scorers include Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, and Jabari Smith Jr.
The team struggles with shooting, ranking 24th in field goal percentage (45.1%) and 25th in three-point attempts (12.4 made per game) while sitting last in free throw percentage at 74.3%.
Miami lost its ninth straight game, falling to Detroit at home on Wednesday. This dropped Miami’s record to 29-40.
They currently sit third in the Southeast Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, 9.5 games behind the Pistons for the final playoff spot.
Play hard, play smart, play together.
8 🗣️ IN 🗣️ A 🗣️ ROW 🗣️#Liftoff pic.twitter.com/nacg3vi0bO
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) March 20, 2025
Tyler Herro contributes 23.6 points, while Adebayo adds 17.6 points and 9.9 rebounds. The team shoots 45.8% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range, and it performs well at the free-throw line, converting 79.1% of its attempts.
We’re looking at two teams in very different positions as they head into this matchup. Houston is on a hot streak, having won eight consecutive games, while Miami is struggling with nine straight losses.
The Rockets have ascended to the top of the Southwest Division, whereas the Heat have dropped to the last spot in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament.
With Wiggins uncertain about playing for Miami, combined with their struggling offense and lack of momentum, there aren’t many positive signs for the home team.
On the other hand, Houston is performing well and might see Thompson return to the lineup. It’s best to ride the Rockets’ momentum as they pursue another road victory.
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Total Points
Miami ranks near the bottom of the NBA in pace of play as it prepares to face the Rockets. In their last 10 matchups, neither team has averaged more than 112 points per game.
| Total Points | | | |
| Over 213.5 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
| Under 213.5 | -115 | -110 | -110 |
Entering Thursday, the Heat ranked 26th in scoring offense at 109.1 points per game, 23rd in rebounding at 43.2, and 16th in assists with 26.2 per game. They rank 8th in scoring defense, allowing 110.8 points per game.
Houston boasts a strong defensive presence, currently sitting fourth in defensive rating, and I anticipate they will overpower a struggling Miami team.
Davion through contact 🗣️
We lead 109-108 with 3:40 left in the game. pic.twitter.com/PNyQ6LZ9ZO
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) March 20, 2025
Despite a solid 45-25 record, the Rockets aren’t particularly prolific shooters. They rank 25th in three-pointers made per game and 24th in shooting percentage.
Additionally, the total has gone under in seven of Miami’s last 10 games, with nine of those resulting in losses. It’s wise to consider taking the under.
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