2019 March Madness Value Picks

  • Championship Week is upon us and there are still college hoops values available
  • Selection Sunday is a week from Sunday, March 17th
  • Duke remains a heavy favorite with Gonzaga and Virginia well supported

Whether he is healthy or not, Zion Williamson has monopolized college basketball this season. The Duke freshman, and likely first pick in the NBA Draft, is an athletic freak who is impossible to take your eyes off. However, he was injured February 20th, and even with Williamson, the Blue Devils lost games against Gonzaga and Syracuse. Without him they have looked very vulnerable. In other words, the Blue Devils are strong, but beatable.

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Towards the end of January we took a pulse of the nation. Many of the teams that were preferred then are still contenders, but teams like Michigan State and Kansas have lost key contributors, and other teams are just now hitting their stride.

Eight teams are currently under 15/1 to cut down the nets at the Final Four in Minneapolis, but beyond that there are some deep sleepers that present value too.

Let’s look at the updated odds and find some prices worth considering for a futures wager. All odds are from BetOnline.

2019 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship Odds

Team Odds to Win 2019 March Madness
Duke +225
Gonzaga +600
Virginia +700
Tennessee +1000
Kentucky +1200
North Carolina +1200
Michigan +1400
Michigan State +1400
Texas Tech +2500
Nevada +2800
Marquette +3300
Purdue +3300
Houston +4000
Iowa State +4000
Kansas +4000
Kansas State +4000
LSU +4000
Villanova +4000

North Carolina

Overshadowed by their neighbor Duke, UNC has won six straight and stand at 25-5 overall and 15-2 in the ACC. The Tar Heels will go for a seasons sweep of Duke in Chapel Hill on Saturday. Carolina ranks second in the country in rebound margin and assists per game and that goes a long way towards understanding how they tally over 87 points a contest. The Tar Heels are deeper and older than many of their rivals. This is a program just two years removed from winning the national title.


Forget about John Beilein at your own peril. Michigan’s coach led the Wolverines to the NCAA title game last year and got the program off to their best start in school history this year when they started 17-0. Beilein is a savant. Everywhere he has gone he has won, at all levels, to the tune of over 750 victories. His team’s usually get better, and this particular squad is special. The Maize and Blue do not hurt themselves, leading the nation in fewest turnovers per game, and they bear down on opponents, limiting them to 58.3 points a contest. Without one of their best players they won at Maryland over the weekend. Michigan is 26-4 and 15-4 in the Big 10.


Widely publicized video surfaced after the Wolf Pack lost at Utah State over the weekend. Tensions were high in a battle for first place in the Mountain West, and the atmosphere was hostile. However, on the court Nevada has veterans, are coached by Eric Musselman who spent time in the NBA, and last year they reached the Elite 8. Like Michigan, Nevada rarely turns the ball over, they get to the free throw line constantly, and the price is appetizing.


The Orange are off the board, or at least not considered among the most serious contenders. They are 66/1, but coach Jim Boeheim, who endured a tragic evening a couple weeks ago, tends to do his best work with teams under the radar. He has taken teams to the Final Four six times with seeds that included a 10, and two fours. This year’s team is strong on defense and beat Duke. They feel like a Cinderella and the price is right.

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