CFP National Title Odds Update: Who’s Most Likely To Lose?

  • BetOnline has updated National Championship odds after Week 2 of the college football season
  • Clemson (+250) is the title favorite with no games against ranked opponents left on their schedule
  • Oklahoma (+900) has an easier road to the College Football Playoff than Ohio State (+900) and LSU (+1000)

Considering that even a sloppy win can cost a school a berth in the 4-team College Football Playoff, losing is obviously a big no-no.

That means the seasons of teams like Washington (1-1), Florida State (1-1), and Tennessee (0-2_ are essentially already over only a couple weeks into September.

Let’s check the odds at BetOnline to see who still has a shot at the National Championship and who may be best positioned to avoid suffering a loss the rest of the way.


Team Odds
Clemson +250
Alabama +300
Georgia +700
Ohio State +900
Oklahoma +900
LSU +1000
Michigan +2000
Auburn +2500
Utah +2500
Florida +3300
Penn State +3300
Oregon +4000
Texas +4000
Wisconsin +4000
Notre Dame +5000
Texas A&M +5000
USC +5000
Michigan State +6600


After destroying No. 12 Texas A&M (24-10) last Saturday, the Tigers will now face unranked opponents the rest of the way. The 24-10 final score actually flatters the Aggies, who only covered the 17-point spread thanks to a meaningless late touchdown.

Clemson is proving dominant once again and is as close to a CFP lock as you’ll ever see. Not a single one of the Tigers’ remaining opponents is currently ranked.

Meanwhile, Alabama will have to face that same Aggies squad on October 12, followed by two barn burners with No. 4 LSU and No. 8 Auburn in November.

The tough schedule simultaneously makes the Crimson Tide a better bet to finish as the No. 1 team in the country, and a bigger risk to miss out on the tournament altogether.

Georgia faces their first test in Week 4 against No. 7 Notre Dame, followed by a November gauntlet of Florida, Auburn, and Texas A&M. Jake Fromm and company will have to run the table to avoid becoming the best team to never win a national title, but at least Alabama isn’t on their schedule again.


While Michigan barely survived against Army in Week 2, Big Ten rival Ohio State has outscored opponents 87-21 in its first two games.

With the Ryan Day era off to a fantastic start, the No. 6-ranked Buckeyes will face a collection of solid-but-lower-ranked teams (Michigan State, Wisconsin and Maryland) before the main course: November matchups with Penn State and the Wolverines.

Rising Heisman-favorite Jalen Hurts and the Sooners have been equally impressive through two games. Lincoln Riley is well-positioned make his third-straight College Football Playoff if Oklahoma can get by No. 12 Texas in October.

The Longhorns, of course, suffered the most devastating loss of Week 2, falling 45-38 to Joe Burrow and LSU in a game that most likely ends their national title hopes.

The No. 4-ranked Tigers are now in the catbird seat for a playoff berth, but with a November battle against Alabama looming, as well as upcoming contests against Florida, Auburn and Texas A&M, their road won’t be easy.

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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