National Championship Odds Update After Tua Goes Down In Week 12

• BetOnline views the national title as a toss-up between Ohio State (+200), Clemson (+250) and LSU (+250)
  
• Alabama (+1400) is likely to miss the College Football Playoff for the first time in its six-year history
  
• Georgia (+700), Oklahoma (+1600) and Oregon (+2000) are all in contention for the last spot in the semi-final
  

---

After Tua Tagovailoa’s season-ending hip injury, it’s increasingly beginning to look like Alabama will miss out on the College Football Playoff for the first time since the format began in 2014-15.

Given Ohio State, Clemson and LSU are shoo-ins for the semi-final after each delivered yet another beatdown to their Week 12 opponent, the Crimson Tide are contending for one remaining spot.

Let’s look at the latest national championship odds at BetOnline and examine what other schools have a chance at sneaking into the CFP.

GEORGIA BULLDOGS

Georgia picked up a fourth-quality win on Saturday, beating Auburn 21-14 in their own building. The Bulldogs defense has only allowed more than 17 points in a game only once, but the offense continues to be a concern.

Preseason Heisman hopeful Jake Fromm has only accounted for 16 touchdowns on the season, a number that pales in comparison to the TD totals of Jalen Hurts (43), Justin Fields (41) and Joe Burrow (41).

Jake Fromm wit an absolute DIME?

?? #UGAvsAUB
pic.twitter.com/HJCXeGWCx8

— Drip Bayless™️?? (@tomm_YSL) November 16, 2019

The bottom line is that Georgia will need to defeat the Tigers in the SEC Championship to make the final four, and given their offensive struggles, that seems like a long shot.

OKLAHOMA SOONERS

While a loss to Kansas State provides a serious blemish on the Sooners’ resume, it’s becoming increasingly clear that Oklahoma is the most entertaining option for the CFP committee.

Jalen Hurts threw four more touchdowns in a thrilling 34-31 comeback victory over Baylor on Saturday, and should continue to light it up against TCU and Oklahoma State the next two weeks before an inevitable Big 12 title rematch with the Bears.

Jalen Hurts and Oklahoma do the impossible, come back from 28-3 deficit to stun Baylor, 34-31

Hurts: 30-43 passing, 411 total yards, 4 TDs, INT ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/B7pQe6YSZE

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 17, 2019

Aside from winning out, Lincoln Riley’s team might only need a Georgia loss to get into the CFP given the injury to Tagovailoa.

As found in USA Today, one of the five principles listed among the committee’s selection protocol deals directly with injuries: members will consider key injuries that “likely will affect” a team’s postseason performance.

OREGON DUCKS

After clobbering their respective Week 12 opponents, Oregon and Utah are on a collision course to face off in a Pac-12 title game in a few weeks.

While it’s hard to envision a one-loss Utes team getting selected, the Ducks have a better shot given they faced a tougher schedule, haven’t lost since Week 1 versus Auburn, and have a star quarterback (Justin Herbert) that NFL draftniks are drooling over.

CFB analyst says Oregon QB Justin Herbert deserves greater recognition in the Heisman Trophy discussion: https://t.co/H7Qz8CWPLq pic.twitter.com/Wk7mXRBkyf

— 247Sports (@247Sports) November 18, 2019

However, unless Auburn raises their standing with an upset over the Crimson Tide in the final week of the season, the committee is probably more likely to put Oklahoma or Alabama in that last spot.