NCAAF Betting – (21) Stanford at Oregon State

Stanford Cardinals (-15.5) at Oregon State Beavers

Suddenly, that week one loss to Northwestern doesn’t look so bad for Stanford (2-1, 1-1 Away). The 3-0 Wildcats are proving to be the surprise team of the year, and the Cardinal have bounced back with wins over UCF and a huge road upset of USC. Stanford will go for its third straight W this Friday against the Oregon State Beavers (2-1, 2-0 Home) at Reser Stadium in Corvallis (10:00 PM Eastern).

Senior QB Kevin Hogan played one of his best games as a Cardinal last Saturday, posting 279 yards and two TDs while senior running back Remound Wright added another three scores en route to a 41-31 win in South California.

Stanford covered the spread as 9.5-point underdogs and now sit at 2-1 ATS on the season. While the win over the Trojans surprised a lot of bettors, it didn’t shock Hogan.

“I think a lot of people underestimated us as a team,” Hogan told the Associated Press. “We gave them that ability after our loss in Week 1, but we’re going to get better every week. We’re already talking about next week.”

Oregon State is also 2-1 on the season and coming off a 35-21 victory over San Diego State. Freshman QB Seth Collins was average in the passing game, completing 13 of 25 passes for 135 yards, 1 TD, and 1 pick; but he was dynamic on the ground, running for 114 yards and another two majors.

“This young man demands greatness. It’s the look in his eyes, the tone of his voice, we’re ready to go,” running Storm Barrs-Woods said of Collins via the Associated Press. “That’s our leader, that’s our captain. That’s what changed. He got us going. I see him making plays, and I had to make plays.”

The win was a nice bounce back game for the Beavers, who were crushed 35-7 at Michigan in Week 2, managing just 135 yards of total offense. Collins and company may be hard-pressed to repeat their prolific Week 3 performance this Friday against a Stanford D ranked 33rd in the nation in yardage. The Cardinal are giving up just over 300 yards per game – a number which was inflated by USC’s 424 yards last weekend.

Stanford has also dominated the head-to-head against Oregon State lately, winning seven of the last ten both straight up and against the spread, and covering in five straight. (Last season, the Cardinal took a 38-14 win as 12.5-point favorites.)

Pick: Stanford -15.5.

(Photo credit: Brian Cantoni (Flickr) [CC-BY-2.0 (], via Wikimedia Commons.)

Frank Lorenzo

MTS co-founder Frank “Let It Ride” Lorenzo has been betting on sports since he was legally allowed to do so. (Did he do so before then, too? No comment.) He enjoys very strong coffee, neon lights, and passing on his wealth of betting knowledge to anyone who will listen.

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