2022 NFL MVP Picks Following Wild Offseason

  • Josh Allen, Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes are all co-favorites to win the 2022 NFL MVP at +750
  • Tom Brady (+950) returns to a weak NFC while Aaron Rodgers (+1400) has no one to throw the ball to
  • Matthew Stafford (+1800) is a nice longshot bet after winning the Super Bowl in his first season with the Rams

There truly is no offseason in the NFL where the 365-day-a-year news cycle consistently blows other professional sports off the front page.

After a cavalcade of blockbuster trades and free agent signings that saw many of football’s biggest stars switch squads, let’s look at the latest betting odds for the 2022 NFL MVP. But first, be sure to check out the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022

2022 Regular Season MVP

Josh Allen+750
Justin Herbert+750
Patrick Mahomes+750
Tom Brady+950
Joe Burrow+1000
Aaron Rodgers+1400
Deshaun Watson+1400
Russell Wilson+1400
Matthew Stafford+1800
Dak Prescott+2000
Derek Carr+2000
Lamar Jackson+2200
Kyler Murray+2800
Matt Ryan+3300
Trey Lance+3300

Top NFL MVP contenders

The Chiefs’ 42-36 overtime victory over the Bills in last year’s AFC divisional round spurred a change to the league’s postseason OT rule where both teams will now get a possession. With that game’s magical performances of Josh Allen (+750) and Patrick Mahomes (+750) still fresh in our minds, both are co-favored to capture the 2022 NFL MVP – even though the latter lost All-Pro receiver Tyreek Hill.

Cannon-armed Justin Herbert (+750) shares top billing with his older peers after throwing 38 touchdowns and 15 interceptions in 2021. After an impressive offseason that saw the Chargers add Khalil Mack and cornerback J.C. Jackson, the third-year gunslinger should be surrounded by a playoff-bound team.

The Old Guys

Tom Brady (+950) probably deserved to win the NFL MVP over Aaron Rodgers (+1400) last year. But at least he has a better chance to claim the award than his anti-vaxxer peer this season after the Packers traded Davante Adams. After forcing Bruce Arians off the sideline, the soon-to-be 45-year-old will return from his mini-retirement with a full cache of weapons (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Rob Gronkowski) and newly-signed Russell Gage.

Free from the shackles of Pete Carroll’s run-first game plans, Russell Wilson (+1400) should “cook” with his Denver Broncos kitchen stocked with young talent like Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy and Javonte Williams.

Other Notable Names

Joe Burrow (+1000) will be throwing passes to reigning NFL rookie of the year Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins behind a revamped Bengals offensive line. The man that beat the Cincinnati kid in the Super Bowl, Matthew Stafford (+1800), also looks like a strong bet after tossing 41 touchdowns in his first year in Los Angeles. After all, the Rams added Allen Robinson to pair with NFL Offensive Player of the Year Cooper Kupp.

Deshaun Watson is an awful value at +1400. Sure, the Browns’ new starter led the league in passing yards in 2020, but he could still be suspended. Besides, even if he puts up big numbers, how many sportswriters would actually vote for him?

Josh AllenTo Win NFL MVP
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Justin HerbertTo Win NFL MVP
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Best Longshot bets

Derek Carr (+2000) hasn’t thrown 30 touchdowns since 2015 (the last year he was an MVP contender), but the 31-year-old will have new coach Josh McDaniels scheming plays for Davante Adams, Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow. Not bad at all.

Both Lamar Jackson (+2200) and Kyler Murray (+2800) are undervalued at the moment. An MVP winner just three seasons ago, Jackson missed five games with an injury in 2021 but is still an electric player at his healthy best. Meanwhile, Murray’s odds are being depressed by a contract squabble with the Cardinals and a stinky playoff performance versus the Rams.

Lamar JacksonTo Win NFL MVP
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Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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