Steve Starr
- The Buffalo Bills (10-7) are 11-point home favorites over the Miami Dolphins (9-8)
- Josh Allen passed for four touchdowns in a 32-29 win over his AFC East rivals in Week 15
- Super Wild Card Weekend kicks off from Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 15 at 1pm ET on CBS
Miami clinched its first playoff berth in six years with an ugly 11-6 victory over the Jets on Sunday. They will now travel to Orchard Park for Super Wild Card Weekend. The Dolphins’ 32-29 loss to the Bills in Week 15 was one of the most entertaining games of the season, but Mike McDaniel’s club will likely be without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.
Will Josh Allen and the Bills blowout their AFC East rivals and punch their ticket to the divisional round? Before we check the odds on this matchup, here’s where you can find the best Super Bowl betting tips and the top betting sites for NFL football in 2022.
Bills vs Dolphins
 | Spread | Money Line | Total Points |
| Miami Dolphins | +10.5 (-110) | +460 | Ov 45 (-110) |
| Buffalo Bills | -10.5 (-110) | -580 | Un 45 (-110) |
Josh Allen back on top of his game
Josh Allen passed for 254 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday’s 35-23 win over the Patriots. A stat-line that included a pair of 40+ yard strikes to Josh Brown and Stefon Diggs. After being slowed down by a shoulder injury for months, Buffalo’s football savior looks to be at full health heading into the postseason. Allen also lit up the Dolphins at home in Week 15, throwing for 304 yards and four scores with another 77 yards on the ground.
Miami will likely be without two key contributors from its 32-29 loss on Dec. 17. Tua Tagovailoa has not yet been cleared for practice after suffering another concussion on Christmas Day. Raheem Mostert, who ran for 136 yards versus the Bills in their last meeting, also suffered a broken thumb in Week 17.
"One of the great throws you'll see all year."@tonyromo couldn't contain his excitement on this @JoshAllenQB throw.pic.twitter.com/MMXUtv5cjv
— NFL (@NFL) January 8, 2023
Dolphins’ QB problems
Skylar Thompson completed 20 of 31 passes for 152 yards with no TDs or INTs in Miami’s playoff-clinching 11-6 win over Gang Green. The Fins may be forced to turn to the seventh-round rookie again this weekend if both Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater remain out. The veteran Bridgewater dislocated his pinky finger in a Week 16 loss to the Patriots. He couldn’t throw farther than 15 yards in practice last week.
Mike McDaniel is known for his offensive acumen, but is running out of pieces on the chess board. Jaylen Waddle left Sunday’s game early. Let’s hope the sophomore receiver suits up for Super Wild Card Weekend.
Buffalo vs Miami
Buffalo is a 10.5-point home favorite over at Orchard Park and the over-under is set at 45. The line has been steadily moving in the Bills direction since it opened, suggesting that Tagovailoa will indeed miss his third-straight game. Without their starting QB, it’s difficult to see the Dolphins trading blows with the Bills. Dynamic receiver Tyreek Hill has just 78 receiving yards in the past two games without Tua.
Sean McDermott’s club trails only Kansas City in total yards (397.6) and points per game (28.4). Miami also allows the sixth-most passing yards per contest (234.8), so Stefon Diggs and company should feast on Sunday afternoon.
Mike McDaniel knows who the real QB1 is. Stop arguing with me. Coach has spoken. Let’s gooooooo. pic.twitter.com/HJoj9L4onU
— TD PHINS TALK (@TDPhinsTalk) January 9, 2023
Best Bet
You may want to wait to make sure Tua will miss this Sunday’s wild card game. But this should be an easy one for a united Bills team on a mission. Buffalo will win big.
Final Score Prediction: Buffalo 31, Miami 13
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
