Chiefs Favored to Finish 2020 NFL Season with Best Record

  • The Chiefs (+450) are slight favorites over the Ravens (+600) to finish with the most wins in the regular season
  • The Saints (+800) and 49ers (+800) are still viewed as the class of the NFC, but how ’bout dem Cowboys (+1200)?!
  • Could the Buccaneers (+1600) or Patriots (+2000) finish with the league’s best record?

Until Andy Reid suffers the inevitable heart problems that come with being a 300-plus-pound man in a high-stress position, the Kansas City Chiefs will likely enter every NFL season as the favorites to win the most games and capture the Super Bowl.

Patrick Mahomes and company are +450 to finish with the best regular-season record, just ahead of Lamar Jackson’s Baltimore Ravens (+600) who went 14-2 in 2019 before being bullied out of their gameplan by the Titans in the AFC divisional round.

Let’s examine the odds and take a few big swings on some franchises that could finish first-overall in 2020.


Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +450
Baltimore Ravens +600
New Orleans Saints +800
San Francisco 49ers +800
Green Bay Packers +1000
Philadelphia Eagles +1000
Dallas Cowboys +1200
Pittsburgh Steelers +1200
Seattle Seahawks +1600
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1600
Buffalo Bills +2000
Minnesota Vikings +2000
New England Patriots +2000
Los Angeles Rams +2500
Chicago Bears +3300
Cleveland Browns +3300


Hamstrung by a salary-cap crunch, the Chiefs‘ main offseason priority has been keeping their championship roster in tact. After franchise-tagging defensive end Chris Jones and getting receiver Sammy Watkins to take a paycut, general manager Brett Veach will be making a first-round pick for the first time in his tenure.

Kansas City may have lost some ground to the Ravens, who have made a string of impressive moves to maximize Jackson’s rookie-contract window. Baltimore is also projected to face the league’s easiest schedule in 2020.

San Francisco (+800) has two first-round selections on Thursday after dealing blue-chip defensive tackle DeForest Buckner to the Colts earlier this spring. Thanks to being in the ultra-competitive NFC West, the Niners will have to overcome the NFL’s fourth-hardest slate this season, as well as a potential Super Bowl hangover.

No franchise has experienced more hard luck than the Saints (+800) these past few years, but you have to respect Sean Payton and Mickey Loomis’ perpetual win-now mentality. After re-signing Drew Brees and bringing in two veteran free-agents in receiver Emmanuel Sanders and safety Malcolm Jenkins, don’t be surprised if New Orleans trades up in the draft to put the finishing touches on a loaded squad.


Thinking about all the boneheaded Mike McCarthy play-calls and clock-decisions to come is enough to make anyone hesitant to bet the Cowboys (+1200), but “the Beav” may actually represent an upgrade over Jason Garrett.

Despite finishing just 8-8 in 2019, Dallas had the point differential of a double-digit win club and are now set to face the league’s third-easiest schedule. With Dak Prescott tagged and Amari Cooper re-signed, the offense should remain explosive. If linebacker Leighton Vander Esch returns healthy and if reinstated defensive end Aldon Smith regains his beastly-form after four years of suspension, first-place is a definite possibility for the Cowboys.

It seems oddmakers aren’t too optimistic about 43-year-old Tom Brady pairing with 67-year-old Bruce Arians, listing the Buccaneers at just +1600 to finish with the most wins in the NFL. However, a path to first-place could open up if 41-year-old Brees were to fall off a cliff after signing his new TV deal with NBC.

“Tompa Bay” will put up points with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, and their defense already jumped from dead-last in the league in 2018 to fifth-best under defensive coordinator Todd Bowles last season.

In the past decade, Bill Belichick has guided the Patriots to a league-best (by a mile) 125-35-0 (.781) regular-season record. Even without Brady, that would suggest that New England is severely undervalued at +2000.

At this point, every one of my articles includes a passage where I write “imagine if (INSERT TEAM HERE) signed Cam Newton,” but if the Pats were to pull it off, you could expect their odds to shorten to at least +1000.

Steve Starr

Steve is one of the many Americans who spends Sunday watching football on the couch and gorging on heart-clogging eats. He describes himself as a good father, great dog owner, and mediocre gambler and husband.

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