- BetOnline has Dallas as 3-point home favorites over San Francisco on Sunday
- Dan Quinn’s opportunistic defense could fluster Jimmy Garoppolo if the Niners don’t find success in the run game
- The 49ers haven’t defeated the Cowboys since Week 1 of the 2014 season.
One of the best rivalries of the 1980s and ’90s will be renewed on Sunday as the Cowboys host the 49ers on NFL Super Wild Card Weekend.
Dallas went 12-5 in the regular season to claim the NFC East for the first time since 2018, but San Francisco is no pushover, winning seven of their final nine games to qualify for the postseason.
Cowboys vs 49ers
|Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|San Francisco 49ers||+3.0 (-105)||+131||Ov 51.0 (-110)|
|Dallas Cowboys||-3.0 (-115)||-151||Un 51.0 (-110)|
Is Dallas offense a mirage?
Dallas ranks first in scoring and total yards and while Dak Prescott’s numbers are impressive at first glance (4,449 yards and 37 touchdowns), the Cowboys offense did most of their damage against a COVID-decimated Washington Football Team and an Eagles squad resting for the playoffs.
Otherwise, Dak hasn’t looked the same since suffering an early-season calf injury. Ezekiel Elliott looks washed up, Tony Pollard is banged up, Michael Gallup is out for the year, and both CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper have played well below expectations.
— Lone Ranger (@TheTexasSpecial) January 10, 2022
Jimmy G vs Dallas D
On the other side of the ball, Dan Quinn’s defense is No. 1 in the league in takeaways (34) and interceptions (26). Led by rookie linebacker Micah Parsons and second-year cornerback Trevon Diggs, the Cowboys have allowed an average of just 18 points over the last six games.
More importantly, their pass rush produced the fifth-highest pressure rate (33.3%) against opposing quarterbacks. Pressure always causes problems for Jimmy Garoppolo, who has thrown two interceptions in three of his last six games and is still dealing with an injured thumb on his throwing hand.
San Francisco moneyline (+131). In their past 11 contests the Niners’ three losses came to teams (Titans, Seahawks, Cardinals) that held them under 100 yards rushing. However, Dallas’s D ranked No. 23 in the NFL in yards per rush (4.5), allowing 100 or more rushing yards in 11 of their last 12 games.
If Kyle Shanahan can pound the rock with rookie RB Elijah Mitchell and jack-of-all-trades receiver Deebo Samuel, who scored eight of his team-leading 14 touchdowns on the ground, they’ll be able to keep Jimmy G out of dangerous third-down situations. While San Francisco’s 24 turnovers are the most of any NFC playoff team, they finished 5-0 when they didn’t give the ball away.
Most catches with 10+ receiving yards after contact this season
💥 Deebo Samuel – 10
💥 George Kittle – 8
This duo is a problem 😤
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) January 12, 2022
Bet the UNDER on 51 points. The 49ers will run early and often, and their top-10 defense against the pass and run should be able to contain Kellen Moore’s overrated offense. Keep in mind that San Francisco has held their last five opponents under 25 points and not permitted over 300 total yards since Week 14.
Kyle Shanahan’s team showed incredible heart in Week 18, rallying from a 17-point deficit to defeat the Rams and punch their playoff ticket. With dangerous playmakers like Deebo and George Kittle fully healthy and left tackle Trent Williams (hopefully) back in the lineup, the Niners will regain their Super Bowl form from two seasons ago and score an upset over Dallas.
Final Score Prediction: San Francisco 26, Cowboys 23.
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