Dolphins to pummel Packers for Thanksgiving night upset at Lambeau

  • Green Bay (8-3) is a 3-point home favorite over the Miami Dolphins (5-6) in Week 13
  • Tua Tagovailoa has 11 passing TDs and just 1 interception since returning from injured reserve
  • The Thanksgiving Day primetime matchup kicks off from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI at 8:20 pm ET

While the afternoon slate offers nothing to get excited about, Packers vs Dolphins provides a perfect nightcap to Thanksgiving. After downing the Patriots, Miami is on a three-game winning streak and back in the playoff picture in the AFC. Mike McDaniel’s club now heads to frigid Lambeau Field to face a beat up Green Bay team coming off a 38-10 victory over San Francisco.

Before we examine the odds for Thursday’s primetime matchup check out the best TNF bets for Week 13 and the the top betting sites for NFL football 2024.

Packers vs Dolphins

BetOnline Sportsbook ReviewSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Miami Dolphins+3.0 (+100)+150Ov 47.5 (-105)
Green Bay Packers-3.0 (-120)-170Un 47.5 (-115)

Miami back in playoff race

Tua Tagovailoa passed for 317 yards and four touchdowns in a 34-15 victory over New England on Sunday, leading his team to their third win in a row. Since returning from his latest concussion, the 26-year-old has passed for 11 TDs against just one interception.

However, the Dolphins quarterback has an 0-7 career record in games played at 4 degrees Celsius (40 degrees Fahrenheit) since entering the league. With forecasts calling for frigid conditions at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night, Tagovailoa said, “I’m excited to kill narratives, so let’s go. Bring it on.”

Packers power past Niners

Josh Jacobs rushed 26 times for 106 yards and three TDs in a 38-10 win over the 49ers on Sunday. Jordan Love also put an end to his ugly streak of eight consecutive games with a pick, throwing for 163 yards and two scores. Green Bay’s defense forced three takeaways in Week 12, including a league-leading seventh INT of the season by Xavier McKinney.

The Packers have a few health concerns on a short week, however. Romeo Doubs is likely to miss Thursday’s contest with a concussion and Jacobs could be limited following his heavy workload on Sunday. Jaire Alexander (knee) and linebacker Edgerrin Cooper (hamstring) are not expected to suit up.

Miami Dolphinsto cover vs Packers
★★★★★
+3
Bet now

UNDER 47.5Packers vs Dolphins
★★★★★
-115
Bet now

Green Bay vs Miami

Green Bay is a 3-point home favorite at Lambeau Field and the over/under set at 47.5-points. Green Bay’s offense is averaging 26.2 points per game (8th in NFL) and the Dolphins look to have their swagger back after a slow start, putting 34 points on the board in each of the past two weeks.

While Tyreek Hill was quiet on Sunday, Jaylen Waddle made eight grabs for 144 yards and a score, and Jonnu Smith had nine receptions for 87 yards and a TD. Sophomore back Devon Achane also added two touchdowns on the ground.

Best Bet

While Tua has struggled in cold weather throughout his career, the vibes couldn’t be better on Mike McDaniel’s team right now. The Dolphins defense is also becoming one of the more underrated units in the league.

Look for Jordan Love to throw a pick at a crucial juncture to secure a Miami win (+150) at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night, with the UNDER 47.5

Miami Dolphinsto win vs Packers
★★★★★
+150
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identi...

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